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We had two major new polls released on Monday -- ABC/Washington Post's national poll showing Obama up 3% (a 1% gain for Obama from their last poll) and a Politico/Battleground national poll showing Obama up 1% (the same as their previous poll). We also have the 538 forecast rising to Obama for the third straight day -- it now gives Obama a 66% chance of winning compared to a 34% chance for Romney. We also had two new swing state polls:

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We have new polls in four key swing states today including Ohio and Florida. The numbers are below, followed by my analysis.

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Following last night's VP debate (be sure to check out my review of the VP debate), Mitt Romney got a very strong day of poll numbers today, particularly in Florida where he seems to be surging in most polls.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We have a lot of new polls in today, many from key pollsters like Marist and Quinnipiac, and the numbers taken as a whole are favorable to Obama who continues to lead in most of the swing states.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We have several new swing state polls in today and they seem to be pointing towards some settling after what has been a week of extremely volatile polling.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We have several new swing state polls in today and they all continue to show a shift to Mitt Romney following last week's debate. At this point, it is pretty clear that Romney's debate bounce has outweighed whatever counter-bounce Obama might have gotten from the drop in the unemployment rate, and may have actually wiped out all the gains Obama had gathered since the Democratic convention and the release of the 47% video. That being said, there are several factors to consider when evaluating the "new normal" state of the race.

First the numbers, then my analysis.

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President Obama got his best day of polling in a few days today, as we are beginning to see clear signs that Mitt Romney's post-debate bounce is fading in polls that don't include the immediate debate fallout and do include Sunday. There is a large discrepancy in polling today and a clear divide between the polls that have most of their data taken on Thursday/Friday (immediately after the debate) and the polls that have most of their data taken on Saturday/Sunday (immediately after the drop in the unemployment rate).

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We have a couple of new swing state numbers in today, and they, along with the daily trackers, seem to indicate that Romney's post-debate bounce may be plateauing.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We only have one new state poll today, but coupled with the day's national trackers and yesterday's polling, we continue to see a shift to Romney following his debate performance on Wednesday.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We have several new swing state polls in today, most done completely after Wednesday night's debate, and it's pretty clear that Romney is getting a bounce.

Here are the numbers, followed by my analysis.

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We don't have any new swing state polls today. The closest thing is a Rasmussen poll of Missouri showing Romney up by just 3%. Missouri is fairly close, but the Obama campaign is not really in a position to try and expand the map at this point, particularly after last night's debate performance which likely will tighten the polls a bit.

And speaking of post-debate poll tightening, we have our first post-debate national numbers from Reuters.

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Mitt Romney was the clear winner in tonight's debate. Was there a game-changing moment? No. Will this debate change the trajectory of the race in a major way? Probably not. But did Romney help himself get back in the race tonight? Absolutely, yes. And will he probably get a boost in the polls from this debate? Probably, yes.

Full thoughts below...

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