Another Pederson Poll within the Margin of Error!!!
Fri Nov 03, 2006 at 06:56:05 AM PDT
On the heels of dual rallies with President Clinton in Tempe and Tucson, the Arizona Daily Star (
http://www.azstarnet.com/...) reports that Pederson continues to close the gap on Jon Kyl. In this second within the margin of error poll, by Zimmerman and Associates and Marketing Intelligence, Pederson is 4.5 points behind Kyl.
As has been the trend, Kyl is still well under 50% polling 45.8% to Pederson's 41.3%. 9% of voters are Undecided while libertarian candidate polls 3.7%. The margin of error was 4.9%. The poll had Kyl leading among men and those in Maricopa county while Pederson led among women, those in Pima County, and those in Rural Arizona.
National media attention and party money has started focusing on Arizona following a DSCC released poll showing Pederson leading by 4% among early voters.
Is this 2004? Or does Jon Kyl live in a bubble?
Sun Oct 29, 2006 at 09:11:41 AM PDT
I saw another new Kyl ad yesterday that reminded me of the 2004 election cycle ads.
The ad started with pictures of Osama bin laden and quotes from Al Jazerra about suitcase bombs, moving the war inside America, and what will come will be greater. Then the ad attacks Jim Pederson by saying he has no experience and suggesting that he supports terrorism. Then there is an image of Kyl in a chair looking through papers and it says "Kyl helped write the patriot act." It ends with the line "Who will keep you safe."
There was no pack of wolves, but the Patriot act is not popular here in libertarian-minded Arizona. If anything it would seem like a liability for Kyl than something to be touting in an ad.
More federal election adwatch from Arizona
Wed Oct 25, 2006 at 11:35:00 PM PDT
Here's reporting from the Phoenix media market where the airwaves have gotten downright ugly.
First, the Pederson-Kyl brawl.
Pederson humbles Kyl, Hayworth surrogate snafu
Wed Oct 18, 2006 at 01:02:28 AM PDT
On Tuesday, there was a "meet the candidates" advertised forum sponsored by the National Council for Jewish Women (NCJW) at a synogogue in Phoenix. The event was advertised as including both Senate and AZ-05 candidates as well as a variety of local candidates.
Ad watch AZ-Sen and AZ-05
Sun Oct 15, 2006 at 10:30:51 AM PDT
Political advertising now dominates Arizona airwaves. In addition to a variety of well-funded iniative campaigns, now that the early vote period has begun, the Senatorial and AZ-05 congressional candidates are engaged in an airwar the likes of which have not been seen in Arizona.
Pederson's Pro-Choice Commercials
Tue Oct 10, 2006 at 08:39:48 AM PDT
Yesterday, Jim Pederson's campaign in Arizona took the risk all of us have been dreaming of. He's now up on TV with an ad exposing Jon Kyl's record on choice.
The ad features a pathetic-looking woman's mug shot holding numbers while text and voice overs discuss how Jon Kyl's record on choice would not only outlaw abortion (he has cosponsored 2 constitutional amendments banning it even in circumstances he purports to support - that doubletalking power-seeker), it would criminialize women who find themselves needing to have an abortion.
Running in libertarian-leaning Arizona, this ad is a big risk for Pederson, but while Kyl is up with emotionally charged ads about terrorism, Pederson's new ad will pay off. I got an email from the campaign
How Jon Kyl is shooting himself in the foot
Sat Sep 23, 2006 at 04:28:27 PM PDT
Watching the ads in the Pederson-Kyl race, it strikes me that Kyl is running an entirely negative campaign attacking Jim Pederson. This would make sense if Jim Pederson had some political record to attack, but he doesn't.
Pederson to Kyl: Those living in glass houses should not throw rocks
Wed Sep 20, 2006 at 12:01:24 AM PDT
On the heels of a television ad where 20-year Washington veteran Kyl joins with several Arizona sheriffs in stating that Jim Pederson supports amnesty, the Arizona Republic's Robbie Sherwood wrote Tuesday that "Kyl expressed general support for a three-pronged 1986 immigration bill that included amnesty for many undocumented immigrants, employer sanctions and more Border Patrol agents after it passed, according to a newspaper story from that year about his first run for Congress" [
http://www.azcentral.com/...].
