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The Four Horsemen of the Clinton Campaign

Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 01:30:10 PM PDT

Much of this you know, but I will restate some basics for the record.

There is, in most quarters, general agreement that Clinton cannot overtake or match Obama’s pledged delegate count in the remaining contests for the Democratic presidential nomination.  We've all seen the high precentages that she would need to achieve this.

And, while I personally believe that the "popular vote" metric holds absolutely no validity in this contest, there is also a general concensus that Obama will maintain a substantial lead in "popular vote" through June 3rd voting.

The above statements do not include either delegate or vote totals from Florida or Michigan, two states that have been excluded from the nomination process, in keeping with DNC rules agreed to by the candidates.

Given conservative delegate projections for the remaining contests, it is estimated that Obama will need ~100 of the remaining ~300 undeclared superdelegates in order to surpass the 2024 delegate nomination threshold.

Waking up from a three month nap and reading the above statements, one might think that Obama has a simple clean walk to the nomination. But...

Poll

What's the main reason for continued Clinton support?

31%42 votes
3%5 votes
8%12 votes
42%57 votes
14%19 votes

| 135 votes | Vote | Results


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