This is my first diary here at daily kos, so I'll apologize now for any mistakes in kos-edicuit, grammar, spelling etc...

I've been playing with the delegate counters. My personal favorite is Slates. Such counters have led me to some facts, opinions and a bit of a rant

Clinton currently needs 65% of all remaining pledged delegates to overtake Obama in pledged delegates. If Clinton wins PA by 56% to 44%(stop laughing...it could happen) she would likely pick up 18 PDs on Obama. This would move the percentage of remaining delegates Clinton needs to pick up to overcome Obamas lead to 69%. Interestingly, given this scenario, if she won 68% of remaining PDs they would be tied. Either way, a 'huge win in Penn' as it would be portrayed in the MSM, just increases the height of the hill that Clinton would need to climb in the remaining races.

Now lets look at what happens if Obama stops being Obama and splits the PDs in NC and OR 50/50 with Clinton. Given an 18 PD pick up for Clinton from PA, she would need over 80% of the remaining PDs to get the lead. A more reasonable result in NC and OR, lets say 55% to 45% splits in PDs for Obama puts Clintons number at 85% in the remaining contests.