The Republican U.S. Senate hopeful says he knows Colorado. Apparently, though, not as well as he thinks.

Schaffer and his Democratic opponent Rep. Mark Udall (an undeclared superdelegate, by the way) released their first video ads of the campaign. The result, for Schaffer, quickly turned embarrassing.

It seems Hillary Clinton's new path to the nomination has been forged. Based on her and her strategist's statements over the last day or two, this path rests on one bold claim: Obama can't win white voters and is therefore unelectable.

Here's what their path to the nomination looks like:

Apparently not wanting to wait for the latest batch of exit polls out of North Carolina, a group of students from Fayetteville took matters into their own hands today.

The result: Obama is winning at least one precinct!

Caveat #1: Yes, it's Zogby.
Caveat #2: Yes, he pegged Pennsylvania.

Zogby has been polling North Carolina and Indiana since Thursday using a 2-day rolling average. The last poll will be released Tuesday, the morning of the primaries.

Today's poll still shows Obama on top in Indiana, while the race in NC appears stable for now with Obama holding a 9-point lead.

Quinnipiac University has just released polls from the so-called "Big Three" states -- Florida, Michigan and Pennsylvania -- and they are good news for Obama.

Monday was a crappy day. It's time for some more upbeat news.

This morning, Barack Obama played basketball with members of the North Carolina Tar Heels in Chapel Hill. It seems he's taking the advice of many here at DailyKos who've urged the senator do hit the court in this mega-basketball state (along with Indiana).

Check out this cool pic of Obama's short jump shot!

I'm tired of it.

For all practical purposes, Obama has won this thing. He played by the rules and won the nomination. He's won more states, more cauces and primaries, more pledged delegates.

We've all done the math over and over again. Hillary needs a miracle.

So why am I so bummed? I oughta be happy as a freaking lark, excited and energized and pumped up over the prospect of a Democrat beating the piss out of John McCain in November and restoring integrity and competence to the White House.

Rasmussen Reports is out with their latest national tracking poll and guess what? It shows absolutely no movement to Hillary after her "historic" and "game changing" 9-point in Pennsylvania.

This is sure to be disappointing news to Hillary supporters like Lanny Davis, who keep one eye trained on these national tracking polls for any signs of Obama weakness. But as we have seen all primary season, Obama is able to absorb hits and come out on top.

National voters are settling in on the fact that Barack Obama is the Democratic nominee.

Bill and Hillary Clinton are many things, but they’re not stupid.

They’ve both been around campaigns and politics a long time. They know how the game works. They know the rules. And they both know the odds of Hillary winning the nomination at this point are virtually nil.

Maybe I'm still reeling from one too many shots of Goldslagger last night. Maybe this never-ending primary is making me bitter.

Maybe I'm just bored at work.

So just for fun, let me throw a crazy idea against the wall: Jesse Jackson, if he wanted, could turn this primary election on its head and force Hillary to concede. How? By running as an Indepedent candidate for President of the United States!

We're all accustomed to the Hillary campaign and their whimsical game of musical goal posts.

Obama apparently has had enough.

Speaking today in Raleigh, NC, Sen. Obama laid it on the line: a win in North Carolina will seal the deal.

A new Public Policy Poll released this morning puts Obama ahead of Hillary in the Keystone State, 45-42.

PPP surveyed 1095 voters April 14-15, after bittergate. It should be noted that PPP has been among the most favorable polls for Obama over the last few weeks. Last week, PPP had Hillary ahead just 46-43.

Obama is winning men by 14 points, while Hillary is winning women by just 9 points. Obama is picking up 37% of the white vote and 77% of the black vote in this poll.

PPP has Obama up 20 points in Southeast Pennsylvania (53-33) and five points in the South Central region (46-41). Hillary leads all other regions.

PDF LINK

With polls showing Hillary still favored to win Pennsylvania (as always predicted, even by Obama's own spreadsheet) all eyes will jump ahead to North Carolina and Indiana.

But aren't we forgetting something?  

Hillary could have been principled.

She could have used her voice as a leader of the Democratic party to calm the waters.

She could have called for a civil discussion on the real plight of small town Americans.

She could have taken the opportunity to remind Americans what Democrats stand for.

She could have said Democrats are the party that fights for the common man, the party that gives a voice to the voiceless.

She could have called for a civil discussion on the plight of small town Americans.

She could have critiqued the media for deploying the same kind of gotcha politics that she has protested for years.

I was waiting for Zogby to rear its head again.

As if we didn't need any more reason to distrust and mock Zogby, the polling firm has teamed up with right-wing rag Newsmax to poll the Pennsylvania Democratic primary.

The good news is that Zogby shows it a 4-point race, with Hillary on top 47-43.

The bad news is that Zogby has a dismal track record this election cycle and their results just can't be trusted.

This diary is going to be short, sweet and to the point.

Ignore CNN's "poll of polls" showing it a 4-point race. It's not.

Obama is definitely closing the gap, but he will lose Pennsylvania. Barring some unlikely surge in the final full week of the campaign, the demographics and trends simply don't point to an upset.

I am a big Obama supporter and I tend to get wrapped up in the polls like everyone else, perhaps more so. My emotions tend to ebb and flow according to the latest poll.

But when it comes to Pennsylvania, some of us need a large dose of reality. Hillary will win the state 8-10 points. To expect anything more is just setting ourselves up for a letdown.