Daily Kos

Email: jarvisd@gmail.com

Portland-based progressive activist who as a student led the Campus D's effort at his campus (Grinnell College in IA) and is now a public administration grad student at Portland State University in Portland, OR.

Bi-Partisan?: The DSCC responds to Gordon Smith

Wed Jul 23, 2008 at 08:32:56 AM PDT

Yesterday I wrote about how Gordon Smith and the Oregon Republican party had released a web ad and website smearing Jeff Merkley's record.  Today, the DSCC fired back with a brilliant ad nailing Gordon Smith on the war on Iraq.  See more below the jump...

Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

Poll

Which ad is better?

10%2 votes
89%17 votes

| 19 votes | Vote | Results

The Oregon GOP loses it on Merkley

Tue Jul 22, 2008 at 01:05:49 PM PDT

Proof that Jeff Merkley is gaining fast in his quest to be the next Senator from the great state of Oregon increases by the day.  In the latest, the Oregon GOP goes after Merkley's supposed campaign finance violations and then puts up a pathetic website attempting to smear Merkley's tax record.  More below the jump.

Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

It's all about the $: Oregon

Mon Jul 21, 2008 at 10:24:34 AM PDT

The following is the latest in my line of Oregon politics blogs and comes at the suggestion of one of my readers.  Simply put, I will analyze the current cash situation for major non-federal candidates in Oregon (since I believe that the federal races have been well covered here).  

For reference, my latest thoughts on the elections are posted at: http://www.dailykos.com/....

Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

The State of Oregon Politics

Wed Jul 16, 2008 at 09:32:40 AM PDT

This latest in my continuing series of diaries on Oregon politics will discuss the current status of Oregon's political landscape by using voter registration as a guide.  With this model, we can see clearly how strongly the Democratic party is positioned for this fall.

Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

Know Your Candidates: Oregon

Mon Jul 14, 2008 at 09:55:11 AM PDT

In order so that those of you who have been reading my Oregon politics diaries can understand who these people are I have been talking about, I present the following entry.  For brevity's sake, only statewide and congressional candidates will be discussed.

For your information, my last Oregon elections preview is here: http://www.dailykos.com/....

Cross posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

Poll

Who is your favorite OR politican running for election this year?

3%1 votes
26%7 votes
3%1 votes
7%2 votes
15%4 votes
34%9 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
7%2 votes

| 26 votes | Vote | Results

A Mid-Summer's Oregon General Election Update

Thu Jul 10, 2008 at 10:21:07 AM PDT

The following is my latest read on this fall's Oregon elections.  This update is prompted by the release of some new registration data that goes down to the state legislative district level, thus allowing me to more correctly analyze the races.  This update includes all candidate races at the state legislative level and up (excluding local races) but does not include ballot measures.

For information, see my previous OR politics diaries:

Oregon Ballot Measures: http://www.dailykos.com/...
Oregon's Vote By Mail System FAQ (Written for the primary): http://www.dailykos.com/....
My first post-primary update: http://www.dailykos.com/....

Crossposted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

Poll

How Many Seats will the Democrats have in the OR House after the 2008 Elections?

0%0 votes
7%1 votes
7%1 votes
30%4 votes
30%4 votes
15%2 votes
7%1 votes

| 13 votes | Vote | Results

Why Obama fans should be Ducks fans

Tue Jul 08, 2008 at 10:33:38 AM PDT

Both for my own amusement and because I believe it, I am presenting the following list of why all Obama supporters should be Oregon Ducks fans  This list is meant in satire and I apologize in advance to those I may offend/attack (read: Michigan, Washington, USC, Notre Dame and perhaps Oregon State fans).  Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...

Poll

Which Pac-10 School is Obama Most Like?

70%94 votes
3%4 votes
0%0 votes
0%1 votes
4%6 votes
12%16 votes
2%3 votes
3%4 votes
2%3 votes
1%2 votes

| 133 votes | Vote | Results

Get Verified: Oregon Ballot Measures

Mon Jul 07, 2008 at 09:25:45 AM PDT

With the submission of signatures for this year's Oregon Ballot Measures, I thought I'd run down their chances of making the ballot and what they mean, along with listing those ideas that will not make it this year.  Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun (http://www.loadedorygun.net/...).

Got Initiative?: Oregon Ballot Measure Preview

Wed Jun 25, 2008 at 09:32:19 AM PDT

The following is a preview of the initiatives that are expected to/may qualify for the 2008 fall ballot.  All signatures are due by July 3, 2008 if they have not already been submitted.

Poll

Who is your least favorite Oregon political figure?

44%19 votes
11%5 votes
18%8 votes
2%1 votes
4%2 votes
16%7 votes
2%1 votes

| 43 votes | Vote | Results

Say hello to Oregon's (District) Convention Delegates

Mon Jun 23, 2008 at 10:21:33 AM PDT

The following is a preview of Oregon's delegates who were recently selected to attend the National Convention (excluding state-level delegates whose results are not posted yet).  More information is available by going to: http://restricted.dpo.org/....  Delegates are listed below by District and Candidate whom they support.

Oregon, Primary Review and General Preview

Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 10:03:03 AM PDT

The following is a review of Oregon's primary and a preview of Oregon's fall elections now that the primary results (with the exception of Ballot Measure 53) are certified.

An early look at Oregon

Thu Jun 05, 2008 at 12:07:19 PM PDT

As promised, this is my early look at the political outlook this fall for Oregon.  I discuss statewide races, Congressional Races, potential ballot initiatives and state legislative races, all below the jump.

OR Primary Winners, Losers and Awards UPDATED!

Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:11:58 AM PDT

The following is my evaluation of the Oregon Primary's winners and losers as well as some awards for the primary campaigns.  I am referring not to candidates so much as to trends and groups that did well/didn't do well last night.  Latest Update: Mannix concedes but refuses to endorse Mike Erickson, telling Politico ""I will not support him because he's a dishonest person and that's my bottom line," Mannix told the Politico. "I cannot support a dishonest campaign. I need to stick to my principles here, and he'll have to deal with it. That doesn't mean I'm endorsing or supporting the Democrat, but I'm not doing anything for him."

Final OR thoughts and guide for tonight UPDATED!

Tue May 20, 2008 at 12:50:20 PM PDT

Hey folks, here is my final diary on the Oregon elections tonight, including my projections and some tips for watching the results.  For those of you with questions about the Oregon Voting system, I posted a FAQ yesterday here.  UPDATED with a poll on the US Senate race below!

Poll

Who is going to win the Oregon Senate Race?

45%28 votes
54%34 votes

| 62 votes | Vote | Results

Oregon Election Results FAQ

Mon May 19, 2008 at 10:11:15 AM PDT

In response to a number of questions about Oregon's Mail in Election process and how to track the results, I have prepared the following FAQ.  This is a follow-up to my similar diary completed last week.

How to monitor Oregon's results Tuesday

Fri May 16, 2008 at 10:48:48 AM PDT

Due to some widespread confusion about how Oregon's results will be reported because of our vote by  mail system, I thought I'd provide this guide on what to watch for Tuesday night.

Oregon Primary Preview and Current Projections

Thu May 15, 2008 at 10:45:03 AM PDT

The following is a preview of Oregon's statewide and congressional races, as well as the Portland mayoral race.  It includes my current projections for what will happen if the votes were counted today.

A basic guide to Oregon and campaign tips

Thu May 08, 2008 at 09:57:54 AM PDT

In light of the Presidential campaign's move to the great state of Oregon, I thought that I would provide some guidance (below the jump) on the state as well as how to campaign here.


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