After the June primary I was asked by a friend why I thought one candidate defeated another. I didn't have a good answer because I don't live in that district and didn't experience much of the campaign firsthand, and so forth. I thought about what I know from 30 years of being a voter, activist, observer and amateur pundit and realized that I could explain ballot measure campaigns better that candidate races. I have written for Democratic club newsletters before (and this diary is adapted from my new article) but this is my first diary on DailyKos. Wish me luck.
     So why do the propositions win or lose?