Daily Kos

Just Hung Up with the DNC...

Wed Sep 16, 2009 at 02:04:53 PM PDT

I'm not one normally to really engage in criticism with the Democratic party, but when I just got a fundraising call from the DNC to help contribute to a National Media Campaign to support "Health Reform" I had to turn them down.  Respectfully, I declined any support, and the wallet is shut until I see someone put the Baucus' and Conrad's in their place where they belong, at the back of the room instead of head of the table.

If the DNC or even Obama thinks they'll get my support for some craptacular effort that ends up hurting everyone in the process but the Insurance Companies, they have another thing coming...

We're worked so hard as supporters and donors to build what they've always said they'd need, a true blue majority with little doubt of whose in control, yet they compromise their ideas for no reason at all and disappoint their voters.


Updated: My sister just called from the Emergency room: Swine Flu Scare

Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 10:52:32 AM PDT

I've been following the progression of the H1N1 Swine Flu closely all week because one of my primary job functions is to forecast demand for a large consumer products company. Further, we've seen some dip in sales this week, as the media has been focused on the potential pandemic in our midst.  This is freightening from a business perspective, and as of yet, the reality of what may soon befall us hasn't hit home yet.  

It just did, and it's scary as hell.

My 34 yr old sister is a 3rd grade teacher in a medium sized town in a state with no confirmed cases.  Any teacher anywhere could at this point have been exposed to the H1N1 virus.  Between the 2-7 day incubation period and the time it takes to actually confirm the virus infection, with the pathetic capacity of having 2 labs in all of N. America to actually run the tests, a case of sniffles on Tuesday morning could be swine flu for the whole class by Wednesday afternoon.  

You start to realize there may be no stopping this and the world around us is about to change in ways we cannot yet comprehend.

WHO: 40 US Cases of Swine Flu; St. Dept Travel Advisory Today; Earthquake Hits Mexico City

Mon Apr 27, 2009 at 08:42:57 AM PDT

Things are definitely moving rapidly on the potential Swine Flu pandemic.

The World Health Organization has issued new information just minutes ago

The World Health Organization says there are now 40 confirmed cases of swine flu in the United States and that it "very concerned" about the disease's spread.

WHO says none of the cases in the U.S. have been fatal.

But the U.N. agency says it could decide in a matter of hours whether to raise its pandemic alert level as a result of the increasing number of confirmed swine flu cases in Mexico and elsewhere.

In the UK, 17 potential cases being investigated.

Updated: F*ck the Dow.... Can Greed Die Already?

Mon Mar 02, 2009 at 10:15:05 AM PDT

Excuse the rant, i just got to thinking...

the Dow has never helped the middle class get healthcare... instead the continous drive for "profit" created death by spreadsheet.

the Dow didn't give me or you or my mom a raise... instead the continious drive for "profit" capped the income of the working class

the Dow didn't create my job... instead it caused my neighbor to lose his job as it was shipped to India in the seek of "profit"

the Dow won't save my job... instead it may kill it... so today, as it drops, I say FUCK the dow because finally the greedy bastards on Wall Street are feeling the heat that we've been living in for decades.

Has Obama Already Failed? FT Proposes Nationalization

Tue Feb 10, 2009 at 02:41:04 PM PDT

Edit:  Please Don't comment unless you actually read the diary...  

Obama today himself said to the audience in Ft. Meyers that they're doing their best, and based on whether they succeed or fail in the Stimulus/Bail Out, they'll ultimately be judged by the public and voters with reelection or retirement.  I, like many here, don't really know what to make of the Treasury Secretaries sketchy unveiling today, but in the Financial Times, they pull no punches... Martin Wolf pulls no punches but he does ask the tough questions and challenges the current mode of thinking... I'll highlight what matters and encourage you to read the rest.

Has Barack Obama’s presidency already failed? In normal times, this would be a ludicrous question. But these are not normal times. They are times of great danger.

What is needed? The answer is: focus and ferocity. If Mr Obama does not fix this crisis, all he hopes from his presidency will be lost. If he does, he can reshape the agenda. Hoping for the best is foolish. He should expect the worst and act accordingly.

More below

Dr. Gupta is JUST FINE... It's a Sales Job not a Policy Job!!!

Wed Jan 07, 2009 at 10:37:57 AM PDT

With all due respect DrSteveB, you're wrong.

You make it sound as if Dr. Gupta will be creating health policy... as if he'll have a chance to set an agenda, send a favor to Pharma, do some negative harm to the public health.

Let me explain to you in the simplest terms I can exactly what the Surgeon General does:  SALES!!!

And as any good salesman will tell you, they're not responsible for the product they're shilling, their bosses are, and in this case the Bossman is Barack Obama with the Direct Report incoming secretary Tom Daschle.

SO PLEASE CHILL OUT ON THE NEGATIVITY!!!

Governing Already: Obama's Calls with World Leaders Thursday

Fri Nov 07, 2008 at 07:57:58 AM PDT

This is one of the most satisfying and relieving pieces of information I've read this entire year... We have a new President folks, and he's wasting no time in getting down to business.

Incoming US president Barack Obama discussed the financial crisis and other problems with top world leaders ahead of his first public comments Friday since his election triumph.

After making the first key appointment to his administration, Obama spoke by telephone with the leaders of Australia, Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Israel, Japan, Mexico and South Korea, hastening the shift in political gravity away from President George W. Bush.

AFP solicited statements from the capitals of each of these nations and these were the topics covered.  Notice the subject mix, including hot topics like Climate Change with nearly everyone...  Expect action on that front quickly in 2009

!!!! Obama May Still Win Omaha, NE & +1 EV for 365! !!!

Thu Nov 06, 2008 at 12:35:16 PM PDT

Mandate?  I got your mandate.... How about a nice Exclamation point for the end result of the 2008 election.

North Carolina brought the tally to 364 earlier today, and while Missouri is anyone's guess, it does appear that Omaha and it's 2nd Congressional District may yet split off for the first time and deliver one additional electorial vote for Obama, this one being from the dark red heartland...

Via Nate Silver, from the Omaha World-Herald:

Obama Soldier Helps Muslim-Smear Believing Voter Cast Ballot

Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 07:32:49 AM PDT

I find this story, on today, election day, particularly insightful, heart warming and inspiring.  

I'm embedded with the military in Saddam's Presidential Palace and sent in my absentee ballot - for Obama - weeks ago. One of my colleagues [contractor, retired military] strongly supports McCain-Palin, believes Obama is a Muslim, etc.  He told me he wasn't going to send in the Federal Write-In Absentee Ballot because someone told him it wouldn't be counted unless the election was close.  Well, that's not true.  They do, eventually, count all the valid ballots for the official totals, issued several weeks later.

I showed him how to print one out [from fvap.gov] and encouraged him to participate, no matter what.  Even though we disagree on the candidates, he really appreciated my taking the time to ensure that he sent in his vote.  Even if, in the end, his state does not count his ballot [maybe he should have requested an absentee ballot in advance, and maybe he didn't; I don't know], it's important to me that everyone have a voice in this election.

Poll

How Many Calls WIll you make Today

15%3 votes
5%1 votes
5%1 votes
75%15 votes

| 20 votes | Vote | Results

U. of Florida "Gators for McCain" Chair Flips, Votes OBAMA!!

Mon Nov 03, 2008 at 09:17:04 AM PDT

Chicken soup for your GOTV-worn soul....  this is a huge Morale booster folks...

Meet Joshua Simmons, Chairman Former-Chairman of Gators for McCain

The University of Florida in Gainesville is home to one of the country’s largest McCain student groups, with more than 1,000 members. Some of its volunteers stand for nine hours a day in a central campus plaza, pitching to students and selling T-shirts, their only source of campaign money.

The Obama group on campus, though, has hired a shuttle bus to drive Obama-supporting students to an early voting site 20 minutes away.

“Obviously, we don’t have the resources for that kind of thing,” said Joshua Simmons, 20, the chairman of Gators for McCain. “Right now, we’re just making sure that students know that this organization does exist, and that there are students out there who support McCain.”

Gallup ROCKET Bounce:  +3, +2, +3 After Obama-mercial

Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 10:03:37 AM PDT

Gallup ROCKETS in the wake of the Obamamerical

Likely Traditional (Drudge Version)
Obama 51  +1
McCain 43  -2

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Likely Expanded  (Reality)

Obama 52  +1
McCain 43  -1

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Registered (Obama-verse)

Obama; 52  +2
McCain: 41  -1

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Rasmussen O: 51, M: 46... Sanity Returns w/ CNN Polls

Thu Oct 30, 2008 at 06:27:46 AM PDT

Yesterday I published a diary openly questioning the math used by the Rasmussen reports and here is today's new numbers:

Obama: 51%  (50%)
McCain: 46%  (47%)

This will make Drudge very unhappy, but I think that after Chris Bowers and I questioned their method, they do have a blurb in the Sub. section worth reading:

Voter Turnout: In addition to weighting our polling sample by partisan identification and other factors, Rasmussen Reports also looks at a person’s interest in the campaign and other factors to estimate the likelihood of voting. For example, someone who is following the campaign on a daily basis is considered more likely to vote than someone who says they have no interest in the campaign. Some who says they are certain to vote is considered more likely to vote than someone who says something might come up to prevent them from voting. See results for these questions by candidate preference, gender, age, party, ideology, and race.

Rasmussen's Math Simply Doesn't Add Up...

Wed Oct 29, 2008 at 08:56:48 AM PDT

Scott Rasmussen's polling today has alot of people talking but something about it is way out of whack.  The key initial starting place is this point

For polling data released during the week of October 26 to November 1, 2008, the partisan weighting targets used by Rasmussen Reports will be 40.0% Democratic, 32.8% Republican, and 27.2% unaffiliated.

This is a very precise measurement of the electorate, one which is to the decimal place.  In his internal subscribers section, the following party breakdown is offered.

               Dem     Rep     Indy
Obama   85%       11%     50%
McCain   13%       87%     45%

Open up an excel sheet and confirm my math, but when you multiply the party id % with the individual levels of support, I find the poll shows the following:

Obama: 51.21%
McCain:  45.98%

ATTN Florida: Early Voting Expanded Sunday & 12 Hour Days

Tue Oct 28, 2008 at 12:26:06 PM PDT

It's been written here and elswhere how the Florida Early voting situation is disenfranchising thousands if not millions of voters by limiting the number of operational hours per day, at the legislative direction of the Republican State Legislature.

Gov. Charlie Christ, reportedly lukewarm to McCain, just changed all that, and we should celebrate this one.


“Gov. Charlie Crist on Tuesday afternoon issued an order expanding the hours of early voting up to 12 hours a day through Sunday, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.

“At a news conference, Crist said the right to vote is sacred and that "Many have fought and died for this right." He said he consulted a leading Democratic legislator, Rep. Dan Gelber of Miami Beach, before issuing his order.

“As to the perception that more early voting helps Democrats, Crist said: "This is not a political decision. This is a people decision"

Hey Kos: Gallup +10 Obama Today; What's with our poll?

Mon Oct 27, 2008 at 10:05:46 AM PDT

I woke up this morning and was stunned to see the reliable dKos RS2000 poll showing Obama pulling down a +5 Day yesterday... WFT you know, how?  Well, Rasmussen also showed some tightening, but as it always happens, there is very conflicting evidence as Obama has expanded in Gallup and flatlined in Hotline

Gallup Expanded Likely Voters
Obama: 53%
McCain: 43%

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Registered Voters
Obama: 52%
McCain: 42%

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Obama's 10-point lead among expanded likely voters matches his largest leads on this basis. It also ties his standing among all registered voters, who now favor Obama over McCain, 52% to 42%.

Today in Albuquerque: Obama Draws 45,000+; McCain <1,000 w/ Late Night Eye Candy!

Sat Oct 25, 2008 at 09:49:17 PM PDT

Headcount!!!  McCain and Obama visited the same city today; who did better?

A fire marshall puts the crowd at at least 45,000, many times that at McCain's roughly 1,000-person event a couple of miles away this morning.

I love this stuff... EYE CANDY!!!

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SHOCK POLL: Obama Takes 1% Lead in RURAL America

Thu Oct 23, 2008 at 09:37:56 AM PDT

If you want a shock poll, a poll that confirms your suspicions and dreams that Obama is on his way to victory, a poll that reinforces the trends, then this is a SHOCK POLL for you....

Bend over Drudge, this one will hurt...

After trailing by 10 points in U.S. rural areas, Democrat Barack Obama is neck-and-neck with Republican John McCain among rural voters in 13 swing states, a potentially key group for winning the White House, according to a poll released on Thursday.

Obama was supported by 46 percent and McCain by 45 percent of 841 likely voters surveyed from October 5-21, as U.S. financial turmoil deepened, according to the poll commissioned by the nonpartisan Center for Rural Strategies in Whitesburg, Kentucky.

This poll represents a seismic shift in the electorate, one which is heart warming and hope instilling... this is a poll that leaves my jaw on the ground.  If I had to say one place was safe for McCain, I'd of said it was Rural America.

New Devastating Obama Ad: "ERRATIC"!!!! It's Jugular-Time!

Tue Oct 21, 2008 at 01:15:19 PM PDT

I've seen ads and I've seen ads that work and I've seen ads that don't work and well, this ad is simply gloriously devastating in ways that actually explain current polling.

Obama's newest negative spot shifts away from health care policy and attacks McCain's temperament head-on.

The unreleased ad, which aired in at least Virginia, quotes newspaper descriptions of McCain having "careened from stance to stance," been "erratic," and "poured gasoline on the economic mess."

"Yes, McCain's been erratic. What he hasn't been is on your side," says the narrator.

Poll

Best ad of the year?

15%260 votes
39%657 votes
44%750 votes

| 1667 votes | Vote | Results


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