Daily Kos

Super-Delegates vs. Caucus-Selected Delegates

Fri Feb 08, 2008 at 12:11:51 PM PDT

There has been all sorts of fuss from the Obama campaign about what will happen if the Super Delegates overthrow the supposed will of the people.  I have another question, though, what if the caucus-selected delegates overthrow the will of the people?  More beneath the fold.

Fair Rules and Unfair Rules

Thu Feb 07, 2008 at 05:12:06 PM PDT

From reading this and other blogs, I get the impression that there are "fair" rules that must be followed, because they were agreed to in advance (whether or not they are democratic), and other "unfair" rules that must be patently opposed, whether or not they were agreed to in advance (because they are anti-democratic).  Let's summarize below the fold.

Hillary or Obama? The deciding issue for me

Fri Feb 01, 2008 at 08:41:23 AM PDT

I have been supporting Hillary throughout this campaign, and at times I have sharply criticized Obama out of partisanship.  But the reality is that I find many things attractive about Obama too.  I like his ability to bring out large numbers of new voters and to appeal to independents and moderate Republicans.  I think he could represent a new face of the U.S. in international diplomacy and I like many of his ideas about transparency in government.  There are times when I wonder if I have made the right choice in this election.

Of course I also admire many strengths about Hillary--her long-time commitment to children's and women's issues, her experience and knowledge in international affairs, her willingness to fight for what's right, her policy ideas about education and other issues.  And Hillary is also bringing out huge numbers of new voters, especially working class women.  How to decide?

Well, though I am attracted to Hillary for a wide range of reasons, there is one definitive issue that confirms my support for her.  More beneath the fold.

Florida by the Numbers

Tue Jan 29, 2008 at 09:41:26 PM PDT

People are debating back and forth about whether Florida "counts" in any of a number of ways: whether the delegates will eventually be counted, whether the vote signifies anything about potential support on Super Tuesday and beyond, and whether the vote will impact media coverage of the race.

Well, I don't intend in this diary to argue any of those points.  I simply intend to share quantitative data about the state and the vote.  More below the fold.

The State of the Race

Sat Jan 26, 2008 at 08:54:11 PM PDT

Barack Obama had a great night.  Congratulations to him and his supporters.  We have now completed the four "official" early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina.  It's an excellent time to take a look at the state of the race.  Follow the discussion below the fold.

LA Times: Obama says he bungled Illinois votes

Wed Jan 23, 2008 at 09:25:11 PM PDT

The L.A. Times has an article today about how Barack Obama claims he bungled five votes in the Illinois State Senate

Apparently, on at least five occasions, Obama claims that he had pushed the wrong button and afterwards requested that his true "intent" should be recorded.  In such cases, there is a note of the legislator's stated intent, but the original vote still stands.  Follow beneath the fold for the details.

Clinton Wins Strip Precincts

Sat Jan 19, 2008 at 02:04:23 PM PDT

Clinton won 7 of the 9 at-large worksite precincts on the Las Vegas strip.  Overall the results at these nine precincts were as follows:

Clinton: 54.5%
Obama: 45.5%

In other words, she won those precincts by a substantially larger margin than she won the state.  What a stunning rejection of the Culinary Union leadership.

Surprising Poll Results in California

Tue Jan 15, 2008 at 08:31:34 AM PDT

The just-released L.A. Times poll (article -- full results) for California shows Clinton maintaining a sizable lead there.  What's more, there are some surprising internal results that look very good for Clinton.  More beneath the fold.

Poll

Who will win California?

39%103 votes
34%90 votes
13%34 votes
1%5 votes
10%26 votes

| 258 votes | Vote | Results

Are "at-large" worksite caucuses fair?

Sun Jan 13, 2008 at 04:13:08 PM PDT

The recent lawsuit against Nevada's at-large worksite caucuses has caused quite a bit of debate and discussion.  In this diary, I intend to look in depth at the issue, linking to relevant documents and pointing to both the benefits and disadvantages of the worksite caucus system.  Follow below the fold for more.

The View from Manchester

Wed Jan 09, 2008 at 07:37:21 AM PDT

For many on this site, the 1990s look like part of the problem.  NAFTA, welfare reform, triangulation--the whole nine yards.  The problems didn't start in 2001--we have to overturn Washington and those that are part of it.

Apparently, the voters in Manchester, New Hampshire -- the largest city in Northern New England and the base of the region's principal working class and union community -- feel differently.  For why that is so, and what that means for this election, follow below the fold.

A Shocking Map (with poll)

Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 09:06:40 PM PDT

Even though it's happened in the past, a lot of us have nevertheless been surprised at how a victory in one small rural state, where less than 20% of the population votes, can radically transform a presidential race.

However, for an even greater shock, look beneath the fold.

Poll

First in the nation status

5%7 votes
0%1 votes
19%23 votes
26%32 votes
38%47 votes
9%11 votes

| 121 votes | Vote | Results

Time to give up?

Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 09:29:25 AM PDT

Obama won a big victory in Iowa.  He is a strong favorite to follow up with wins New Hampshire and South Carolina.  The conventional wisdom on this site and in much of the media is that Hillary is finished.  A couple of strong Hillary supporters here have already switched sides.  Will I be giving up?  Read more below the fold.

ARG Iowa: C: 34, O: 25, E: 21

Thu Jan 03, 2008 at 07:47:25 AM PDT

Well, those of you who have been calling ARG a junk pollster will have your arguments either greatly bolstered or dispoven by day's end.  ARG is calling the Iowa race dramatically differently than DMR or Zogby.

Dates of the poll are Dec. 31-Jan 2 (Dec. 26-28 in parentheses)

Clinton 34 (31)
Obama 25 (24)
Edwards 21 (24)

See update below the fold.

New CNN & Zogby polls contradict DMR: What's going on?

Tue Jan 01, 2008 at 05:05:11 AM PDT

New polls today by CNN and Zogby both put Clinton in first place.  What are the numbers and how can you explain the difference between these and the DMR poll?  More below the fold

Iowa AFSCME did what?

Fri Dec 21, 2007 at 04:16:55 PM PDT

A diary today claimed in its title that "Iowa AFSCME disavows HRC."  That would be a very interesting development if it occured.  Did it?  See below.

Poll

What role will labor play in this year's election?

35%32 votes
42%38 votes
11%10 votes
4%4 votes
6%6 votes

| 90 votes | Vote | Results

Four Reasons I Support Hillary

Tue Dec 18, 2007 at 04:23:26 PM PDT

Hillary supporters are sometimes criticized for focusing too much on the polls or the horserace, and not enough on why they support their candidate.  Well, below are four heartfelt reasons I support Hillary.

Slandering Obama

Mon Dec 17, 2007 at 08:52:21 PM PDT

I've had enough with this slander of Obama. Time to take action. See details below.

Poll

Whose comments were slanderous?

8%6 votes
42%31 votes
1%1 votes
31%23 votes
16%12 votes

| 73 votes | Vote | Results

How DMR McCain endorsement helps Hillary

Sat Dec 15, 2007 at 07:27:23 PM PDT

Hillary landed perhaps the most important yet of the campaign today, that of the Des Moines register.  Overlooked in all the excitement (or disappointment for some) is their endorsement in the Republican primary, for John McCain.  That helps Hillary in three important ways -- see more beneath the fold.


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