Daily Kos

Hello, Dolly!

Tue Jul 22, 2008 at 02:49:15 PM PDT

It's not a musical number, but a minimal hurricane heading for far southern Texas and northern Tamaulipas and Nuevo Leon.  Hurricane warnings are up from Corpus Christi, TX to Rio San Fernando, TAM.  Tropical storm warnings extend north to San Luis Pass, TX and south to La Pesca.  Forecast winds upon landfall are around 90 mph, with gusts to 115.  It is expected to hit the coast late Wednesday morning, then turn westward and expire over northern Mexico.  NHC site on Dolly

A vigorous low leaving the African coast has shown fewer signs of developing into anything closed in the next 24 hours.  Take care and cuídense!

The lady sings...

Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 02:35:35 PM PDT

The saying is "it's all over when the large lady sings."  Well, it's probably rude to call her large, but her voice has echoed down the decades through America's moments of triumph and sadness.  

Here's a picture of Kate Smith set to her singing the 1938 arrangement of "God Bless America".

Clinton's path to Pyrrhic victory?

Fri May 23, 2008 at 12:21:43 AM PDT

The road to the nomination for Clinton is still open.  If she follows the path, she may well split the party and give the nomination to McCain, but the path is open and runs through MI and FL.  

I hope that it does not turn out this way.  While the power of early states to decide the nominee has declined, their power to yank a half-dozen also-rans has not.  Just ask Giuliani.  The DNC's threat is all that kept the 2008 primaries in 2008;  without those rules, what would keep the 2012 primaries in 2012?  A December 2011 primary would be worthy of the Grinch, while a November 2011 primary would facilitate unholy alliances between Presidential campaigns and municipal machines.  

Poll

In case of superdelegate coup, I'd...

11%13 votes
5%6 votes
12%14 votes
6%7 votes
36%41 votes
16%18 votes
5%6 votes
5%6 votes

| 111 votes | Vote | Results

Kos is wrong, mayors can be poison.

Wed May 07, 2008 at 09:52:35 PM PDT

When the world's eyes turned to Lake County, Indiana it was Florida 2000 all over again.  In 2000, the corner of the nation that led in political shenanigans was left to decide the Presidential elections.  In 2008, the corner of Indiana that led in political shenanigans was left to decide the primaries.  

The mayors of Hammond, East Chicago and Gary would be well-advised to pay more attention to the welfare of their constituents, now that the primary circus is moving to Appalachia.  They did their candidates no favors.  

Poll

What did you have for dessert?

33%13 votes
7%3 votes
12%5 votes
10%4 votes
5%2 votes
20%8 votes
2%1 votes
5%2 votes
2%1 votes

| 39 votes | Vote | Results

Screw rioting! In case of superdelegate coup, what do we do?

Thu Apr 24, 2008 at 03:25:27 PM PDT

First of all, should Hillary Clinton manage to win the pledged delegates, she should get the nomination.  If she wins the popular vote but not the pledged delegates, then we're in an ambiguous situation.  

But if the superdelegates go against the pledged delegates at the DNC and thus install Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee, what should we do?  

The answer is not rioting or violence, but there will be strong and justified anger.  Better to turn the anger in a productive direction.  Just what is that direction?  Should we do to the Democratic Party as the Democratic-Republican party did to the Federalists and the Republicans did to disaffected anti-slavery Whigs and Democrats?  Should we take advantage of Republican Administrations and bring lots and lots of names to the attention of federal prosecutors?  

Poll

Superdelegate coup: what do we do?

20%44 votes
41%87 votes
12%26 votes
25%53 votes

| 210 votes | Vote | Results

A paean to Indiana

Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 12:28:22 AM PDT

Welcome to Part II of my Hoosier diaries -- basically a compilation of Indiana information that candidates and their supporters my find helpful.  As always, this information is most useful where Indiana is really flat;  there is a serious culture barrier where the hills begin.  

Executive summary:  INDIANA RULES!  PENNSYLVANIA DROOLS!!

Poll

Famous Hoosier offering

39%11 votes
39%11 votes
21%6 votes

| 28 votes | Vote | Results

Welcome to Indiana, Hillary and Barack

Mon Apr 21, 2008 at 11:27:15 PM PDT

After the Pennsylvania primaries, Indiana and North Carolina offer the richest delegate haul on May 6.  The RCP average
shows Clinton with a small lead in the state while Obama enjoys a 15-point lead in North Carolina.  

Here are some biased observations about this state, particularly the parts north of I-74 and west of US 231, with some history as well.  

Poll

Indiana's most famous son/daughter

22%16 votes
9%7 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
2%2 votes
15%11 votes
4%3 votes
0%0 votes
5%4 votes
34%25 votes
2%2 votes
2%2 votes

| 72 votes | Vote | Results

Earthquake in Indiana! 5:39 EDT shaking

Fri Apr 18, 2008 at 02:57:34 AM PDT

Here in West Lafayette, IN, I woke up to a low rumbling at 5:39 EDT.  The sliding doors of my closet were bumping each other and the floor was shaking.  So I went under the nearest doorway to wait it out.  

15 seconds later, it was over.  

Olympic Torch protests in SF today (link to LiveBlog elsewhere).

Wed Apr 09, 2008 at 02:25:19 PM PDT

It looks like the people of San Francisco are preparing for a game of "Capture the Torch".  Pro-China protesters have been bussed in;  pro-Tibet protesters have been active.  

This looks like an event that deserves a LiveBlog.

And so it has one.

Please go there and recommend.

Poll

If offered, would you carry the Olympic Torch for these Games?

16%9 votes
50%28 votes
32%18 votes
1%1 votes

| 56 votes | Vote | Results

Protests to greet Olympic torch in San Francisco on April 9...

Mon Apr 07, 2008 at 01:08:57 PM PDT

Pro-Tibet anti-torch rally site, with map  

Fresh from raving reviews with 37 arrests in London and a near-riot (three extinguishings!) in Paris leading to the mayor's cancellation of a welcome ceremony for the torch, the 2008 Olympic torch is headed to San Francisco.  

Anyway, the route begins at McCovey Cove and most of it is along The Embarcadero.  The run will end at Justin Herman Plaza.  Incidentally, The Embarcadero is, at this time, open to protestors, as is a free-speech area at Herman Plaza and four other free-speech areas at some distance from the route.  

Poll

What response from SF would be best regarding the torch?

4%2 votes
6%3 votes
2%1 votes
32%15 votes
13%6 votes
30%14 votes
4%2 votes
6%3 votes

| 46 votes | Vote | Results

Another TTFN diary

Tue Mar 25, 2008 at 10:57:02 PM PDT

Sorry folks, but I've spent too much time on here.  The signal:noise ratio here is too great and a bunch of deadlines are massing in the near future.

It does not help that almost every Recommended diary is a candidate diary and that the blogosphere is polarizing between Obama and Clinton.  Daily Kos is approaching the point where the ratio between readworthy diaries and everything else is approaching the Evercrack ratio, which is carefully calibrated to keep users online forever.  And, frankly, I'm sick of hearing calls for Hillary to resign or Obama to resign.  

I'll see you all after the Indiana primary.  For now I prefer to interact with real, live Obama and Clinton supporters in meatspace, maybe do the tiny bit I can to force Buyer to spend some time and money in his sinecure district, and earn enough money to be able to give to the candidates of my choice.  So, see you on May 7.  I'll make sure the door doesn't hit me where the FSM split me.  

 

Poll

For the last time until May 7

52%11 votes
47%10 votes

| 21 votes | Vote | Results

Hillary, stay in the race! At least until May 6.

Tue Mar 25, 2008 at 09:56:00 AM PDT

Bill Clinton gave his speech in West Lafayette, Indiana.  It was a reasonably good speech to 1,800 people in the main gym and 1,000 people in the auxiliary gym.  Organizations at Purdue tried to get him into a more capacious hall, but the Clinton campaign preferred the high-school gym.  

People got in (at least to the auxiliary gym) wearing Obama T-shirts.  In the overflow room, people sat on bleachers or huddled around the barrier set up near the door where Clinton was to appear to shake hands.  

More below the fold...

Poll

Have you attended a Clinton or Obama rally?

2%2 votes
40%32 votes
3%3 votes
3%3 votes
29%23 votes
3%3 votes
1%1 votes
3%3 votes
11%9 votes

| 79 votes | Vote | Results

Meta Friday poll: Are you a TU?

Fri Mar 21, 2008 at 10:58:45 AM PDT

I'm just wondering how many Kossacks are trusted users.  Have us TUs been diligent in our duty to keep this site halfway sane?  

I'm wondering because the silly season has become the griefer season, and because a very few users have been dominating the Hidden Files.  (Of the last 30, 17 were the same person, who spread his trolly fingerprints in 17 separate diaries.)

How many are there of us versus people without TU status?  

Poll

Are you a trusted user?

68%108 votes
31%49 votes

| 157 votes | Vote | Results

Obama as Affirmative Action candidate?

Fri Mar 14, 2008 at 11:35:23 AM PDT

The charge has been laid that Barack Obama was an affirmative action candidate.  His career shows some signs of affirmative action, some signs of negative action and some signs of plain good luck.  

In this he differs from no other candidate.  

Poll

Straw poll

23%8 votes
5%2 votes
5%2 votes
0%0 votes
52%18 votes
8%3 votes
2%1 votes

| 34 votes | Vote | Results

For the sake of the pooties, be nice!

Fri Mar 07, 2008 at 01:06:42 AM PDT

Hello.  Bandit here.  

Photobucket

Please stop it.  You know what I'm talking about.  

Poll

So, how many pooties have you rescued?

15%9 votes
8%5 votes
12%7 votes
17%10 votes
19%11 votes
26%15 votes

| 57 votes | Vote | Results

Hidden comments: a few bad actors get hidden most.

Wed Mar 05, 2008 at 12:45:16 PM PDT

Hypothesis:  The Pareto principle is in effect with dKos trolls.  That is, 80% of the trolling is carried out by 20% of the people who get hidden.  

Results:  Hiding comments infrequent, 1/3 of trolls generated 2/3 of hidden comments.

More below the fold.

Poll

The current rate of hidden comments is 0.42%. What should it be?

19%12 votes
0%0 votes
19%12 votes
3%2 votes
8%5 votes
6%4 votes
0%0 votes
13%8 votes
29%18 votes

| 61 votes | Vote | Results

Kosovo not hopeless.

Mon Feb 18, 2008 at 10:44:03 PM PDT

Today is the day after what Kosovars hope will be their national day and Serious People fear will be the start of another Balkan war (even though the assumed protagonists show no sign of wanting one).  

Thank goodness the Serious People have already blundered -- the rest of the European continent has no history of amity with which it can lecture Balkans.  Yet most of its nations are in the NATO alliance and the European Union.  

Poll

Requisite poll

66%8 votes
33%4 votes

| 12 votes | Vote | Results

Female candidates for President in 2016?

Fri Feb 15, 2008 at 10:14:09 AM PDT

Poli Sci Prof wrote an excellent diary about Hillary as Lucy Ricardo.  She paints Hillary as a complex, passionate person wounded by the sexism facing women of her generation and her husband, brought up on the expectation that her real degree would be an MRS.  Hillary did give up a lot when she moved with Bill to Arkansas;  while she is certainly not a victim now, she certainly was in moving to Arkansas and again when Bill met Monica.  

It's pretty clear that some of Hillary's calculations have gone terribly wrong.  There's no room to list them in the intro -- any Obama supporter will give you a list.  

This got me thinking about a liberal professor at Purdue who surprised us by stating that he supported Hillary Clinton despite obvious discrepancies between her worldview and his.  He wants his daughters to know that a woman can be President.  My mother, now ten years older than Hillary  (though a Republican who refuses to vote) has been warming to Hillary.  

More below the fold.

Poll

The first female US President will take office in

10%15 votes
4%6 votes
37%55 votes
36%53 votes
2%3 votes
1%2 votes
2%4 votes
0%0 votes
0%0 votes
5%8 votes

| 146 votes | Vote | Results


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