Obama needs a primary challenge if he cuts Social Security

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Thursday July 07, 2011 · 9:34 PM PDT

2011/07/07 · 21:34

Barack Obama needs a primary challenge in 2012 if he cuts Social Security. It doesnt have to be someone with the stature of Hillary Clinton or Howard Dean. It can even be someone like Ed Schultz.

The point isnt for this person to win against Obama. The point is to force Obama to the left and let future Democratic politicians realize that cutting Social Security is not something you are going to get away with without a major fight from the base.

PaulMunison

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Thursday July 07, 2011 · 8:37 AM PDT

2011/07/07 · 08:37

Ever since Obama's election in 2008, the Democratic party has lost significant ground everywhere. The party has lost 63 House seats, seven Senate seats, nine governorships and over 700 state legislative seats.

It would be one thing if he was out there fighting for Democratic principles, but instead he's out there cutting core Democratic programs like Social Security and Medicare.

PaulMunison

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Tuesday July 05, 2011 · 7:03 PM PDT

2011/07/05 · 19:03

Democrats are paying a huge price nationally for their ignoring of state legislative elections in 2010. This is important because state legislatures draw US House seats.

This is most clear in North Carolina, where Democrats are likely to lose at least three House seats in redistricting, ending the careers of Larry Kissell, Heath Shuler, and Brad Miller.

Had Democrats kept majorities in North Carolina, they would not be losing these seats.

PaulMunison

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Sunday June 26, 2011 · 3:40 PM PDT

2011/06/26 · 15:40

Tim Geithner hasnt just been a bad Treasury , but he was a bad New York Fed President. He was right there in September 2008 when Hank Paulson decided not to rescue Lehman Brothers and tank the world economy. Geithner could have overriden Paulson and agreed to guarantee Lehman's trading obligations until a deal could be done, but he decided to just stand there and do nothing. This alone should have disqualified Geithner frmo the position of Treasury Secretary.

But that's only part of the problem with Geithner.

PaulMunison

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Thursday June 23, 2011 · 3:54 PM PDT

2011/06/23 · 15:54

Barack Obama was never another FDR. He never showed much interest in advancing Democratic causes. He's really the Democrats' version of Richard Nixon.

FDR pushed for and passed huge public works programs to put people to work early in his first term. Obama simply passed a watered-down stimulus in order to appease Republicans.

FDR led his party to historic victories in the 1934 midterm elections, while Obama led his party to the worst defeat in over 100 years, plucking Democrats from office at every level of government.

PaulMunison

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Tuesday June 21, 2011 · 7:34 PM PDT

2011/06/21 · 19:34

It was said earlier this decade that there was an "emerging Democratic majority". Soon, many young and minority voters would be voting and Democrats would reap the rewards. It focused on states like North Carolina, Virginia and many mountain states as potential Democratic strongholds because of growing young and Hispanic populations.

PaulMunison

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Saturday June 18, 2011 · 7:16 PM PDT

2011/06/18 · 19:16

I am trying to figure out how the 2010 elections would have turned out if McCain had been elected in 2008. With Obama in the White House, Republicans won the House popular vote 52%-45%. Im assuming had McCain been in the White House, Democrats would have won the House by a similar margin, meaning a 7% swing to Democrats.

PaulMunison

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Friday June 17, 2011 · 8:39 PM PDT

2011/06/17 · 20:39

By extending and basically making permanent the Bush tax cuts in December, Obama took the issue off the table as an attack line in the 2012 election.

Now Mitt Romney or whomever the Republican nominee is can say "I believe that we should make the tax cuts permanent and so does my opponent because he extended them"

PaulMunison

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Wednesday June 15, 2011 · 3:07 PM PDT

2011/06/15 · 15:07

According to Talking Points Memo, Republicans will not support more payroll tax cuts. It appears that the Republican House and Senate conference chairs have had enough of these short term stimulus measures, even if they take the form of tax cuts.

Republican Rep. Jeb Henserling(TX) says:

Well they've tried this once, and it hasn't seemed to be working

Senator Lamar Alexander says:

We don't need short-term gestures, we need long-term strategies that build into our system simpler taxes, lower taxes, fewer mandates, lower costs, more certainty, any changes in the debt structure of tax reform ought to come out of the Vice President's talks or part of a major tax reform

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/...

PaulMunison

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Sunday June 12, 2011 · 6:53 PM PDT

2011/06/12 · 18:53

Up through the 1992 elections, the South was still solid for Democrats below the Presidential level. This was the reason why Democrats usually held a majority in the House from 1932 to 1994.

The South had long left Democrats at the Presidential level after the 1964 election, only coming back to support fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in 1976. Even as these Southern districts were voting in some cases at almost 80% for Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan and in a couple cases even George HW Bush, they still elected Democrats to the House.

PaulMunison

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Thursday June 09, 2011 · 6:27 PM PDT

2011/06/09 · 18:27

Presidential polling more than a year out from an election tends to be very unreliable. When people post polls saying that Obama leads Romney by whatever amount, I usually dont take them very seriously.

The reason is that polling often changes in the lead up to an election due to conventions and other events.

PaulMunison

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Wednesday June 08, 2011 · 11:06 PM PDT

2011/06/08 · 23:06

Obama is considering another "payroll tax cut", this time on the employer side of the equation. This is in addition to the payroll tax cut on the employee side of the equation. What this will do is make sure that there is less money going into Social Security. It wont be temporary. As you can see with the Bush tax cuts, once they are there, they are very hard to get rid of.

http://www.bloomberg.com/...

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Obama needs a primary challenge if he cuts Social Security

Barack Obama is destroying the Democratic party

Democrats paying the price for ignoring state legislative elections

Why doesnt Obama fire Tim Geithner?

Obama isnt FDR, he's the Democrats' Nixon

What happened to the emerging Democratic majority?

How the 2010 elections would have looked if McCain had won in 2008

How Obama took the Bush tax cuts off the table as a 2012 issue

It looks like Republicans wont support a payroll tax cut

What Congress would look like if the South was still "solid" Democratic

Why I ignore early Presidential polls

Obama plans to undermine Social Security a little more