[Updated] Febble's Work Does Not Show What You Think It Shows (w/ Head-Exploding Poll)

R Lucian

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Friday April 29, 2005 · 6:00 PM PDT

2005/04/29 · 18:00

Actually, this is not so much a counterargument as a corollary. I will illustrate how an entirely different set of assumptions could explain the discrepancies between exit polls and vote tallies, while not changing a single thing about Febble's mathematical analysis. Words can often obfuscate what is really happening, and prevent rigorous understanding. That has happened in the case of Febble's analysis.
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