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View Diary: IL-02 primary preview and predictions thread (79 comments)

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  •  A Tea Party person believes in Lenny McAllister (4+ / 0-)

    Teas are hoping a black man can turn the district's eyes to the right. He will probably win GOP primary and be challenger to winner of the Dem primary. I think Kelly will win, unless Halverson simply out organizes vote turn out on a snowy day. I doubt McAllister can garner real support, but he should not be overlooked if there are too many hurt feelings after today. If I were in the winner's campaign I would encourage acting with grace and generous outreach to the losing campaigns.

    The past, present, and future are equally compelling; none of the three are easily understood.

    by Grey Panther on Tue Feb 26, 2013 at 08:46:35 AM PST

    •  Of course, she should... (4+ / 0-)

      But I seriously doubt any Republican can make this district competitive. Even in the extreme instance of HI-01 (?), Charles Djou managed to creep above 40% because he was a recent incumbent. And in the less extreme instance of the CA-36 special in 2011, Craig Huey benefited from depressed Democratic turnout (due to it being an odd year summertime special). Yet in both instances, the Democrat (Janice Hahn in CA, Colleen Hanabusa in HI) still won.

      Keep in mind that IL-02 is an 81% Obama 2012 district that hasn't voted GOP in decades. The NRCC, Rove, & the Kochs would be incredibly stupid to spend $$$ here.

    •  As Xenocrypt said (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, atdnext

      JJJ pulled 63% and that was with him being the focus of multiple ethics investigations and having basically disappeared from site since July.

    •  Another pointless worry (5+ / 0-)

      I recall back in 2006 when Democrats here in Ohio were wringing their hands over the Republicans running an ultra-conservative black man for governor. Depressed friends of mine were predicting that East Cleveland, Ohio's poorest blackest city, would give half or 60% or 80% of its vote to Ken Blackwell.

      On Election Day, I was a poll observer for Ted Strickland's campaign at a mostly black polling place in Cleveland on the border of East Cleveland. All day the Blackwell people were outside passing out a flyer that said, "Help us make history — elect Ohio's first black governor."

      That evening, I stood watching the long reports being spit out of the touchscreens (the only election where we used them; they didn't change votes but they sure were a pain in the butt as i can attest after watching them all day). I saw precinct results like "75 votes Strickland, 4 votes Blackwell." My favorite was the precinct where the Green candidate got more votes than Blackwell.

      Black voters just are not that stupid, although I am sure Tea Partyers think they are. Poor deluded Tea Partyers.

      Jon Husted is a dick.

      by anastasia p on Tue Feb 26, 2013 at 10:16:39 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  In an 80% Obama district? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      atdnext, The Caped Composer

      Yeah, and maybe Bernie Sanders can move to Utah and win the senate seat there...

      Politics and more Formerly DGM on SSP. NM-01, 26 (chairman of the Atheist Caucus)

      by NMLib on Tue Feb 26, 2013 at 12:20:59 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Tea Party Acquaintance has hopes dashed (0+ / 0-)

      Lenny McAllister lost, the Great Black Hope of the Illinois Tea, in an election that almost no one voted in.  My Tea acquaintance is once again aground on the shoals of despair and disbelief, just like in November. She occasionally still posts about ignored election fraud by Obama in November. I do hope the Illinois Tea do not leave our state, the GOP might nominate viable candidates without the the Tea.

      The past, present, and future are equally compelling; none of the three are easily understood.

      by Grey Panther on Wed Feb 27, 2013 at 05:49:53 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  This is the unlikely GOP Nominee (0+ / 0-)

      from the Chicago Tribune
      "On the Republican side, the unofficial vote leader was McKinley, 54, who was arrested 11 times from 2003 to 2007, mostly for protesting, with almost all of the charges dropped. In the 1970s and '80s, McKinley was convicted of six felony counts, serving nearly 20 years in prison for burglaries, armed robberies and aggravated battery. He previously declined to discuss the circumstances of those crimes but has dubbed himself the "ex-offender preventing the next offender" in his campaign.
      Records show McKinley also owes $14,147 in federal taxes, which might explain his answer at a forum when asked if he would cut any federal programs. "Certainly," he said. "The IRS."

      The past, present, and future are equally compelling; none of the three are easily understood.

      by Grey Panther on Wed Feb 27, 2013 at 05:57:51 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

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