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Move over Nate Silver, a new super prognosticator is in town. Who is this new genius? Why it’s none other that Microsoft’s Bing Technology.

We all know computers can do many tasks better than man. So can a computer predict elections more accurately than Nate? We shall see… 

Like Nate, Bing has an excellent track record in the political predictive sphere so far. However Microsoft only started using the technology to predict US elections since the 2014 midterms. Bing accurately predicted the outcome of more than 95 percent of the 2014 midterm elections! — a forecast that bested Nate Silver’s renowned FiveThirtyEight. 

Prior to that Bing also accurately predicted the outcome of the Scotland Referendum as well as non-political events such as reality TV shows, the NBA amateur draft, and the World Cup.

Besides predicting Hillary beating Bernie by 50.1% to 46.8% in Iowa, Bing is also predicting Hillary victories in South Carolina and Nevada. It predicts Bernie to win New Hampshire and Trump to sweep all four early voting states on the GOP side. 

One of the amazing things about Bing is the specificity of its predictions. PC World has published a full breakdown of Bing’s predictions for Democratic and Republican outcomes in the early voting states::

Microsoft said that its live predictions will be showcased beginning on Feb. 1. But Microsoft released its primary predictions today, as outlined in a blog post. And they're not set in stone; they will, obviously, fluctuate, over time. However, [here] are Bing's first predictions (with all percentages supplied by Bing):

Iowa (Feb. 1)

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton	50.1%		Donald Trump	39.8%
Bernie Sanders	46.8%		Ted Cruz	30.5%
Martin O’Malley	3.1%		Marco Rubio	12.9%

New Hampshire (Feb. 9) 

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Bernie Sanders	58.4%		Donald Trump	40.2%
Hillary Clinton	40.5%		Ted Cruz	13.1%
Martin O’Malley	1.1%		Marco Rubio	12.6%
			John Kasich	11.9%

South Carolina (Feb. 20, 27)

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton	63.5%		Donald Trump	44.3%
Bernie Sanders	36.4%		Ted Cruz	22.6%
Martin O’Malley	0.1%		Marco Rubio	14.7%

Nevada (Feb. 20, 23)

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Hillary Clinton	91.2%		Donald Trump	39.6%
Bernie Sanders	8.7%		Ted Cruz	20.8%
Martin O’Malley	0.1%		Ben Carson	18.4%
			Marco Rubio	12.4%

If Bing gets it right, I think this might be a game changer in political predictions, just as Nate was when he first came on the scene. We shall see…