Bernie Sanders is keeping things much closer in Michigan tonight than many of us expected… he might even pull off an upset victory.

However as a cold snap in winter doesn't signal that Global Warming isn't real, a Sanders victory in Michigan really doesn't change the fundamental dynamics of the race for the Democratic nomination.

Why? Because there is a very biased player in this game. It's not the DNC, it's not Debbie Wasserman Schultz, it's not Markos Moulitsas. It's a mysterious fellow known as: The Arithmetic. 

The Aritmetic is the ultimate decider of all elections. He is harsh, void of emotions, and really couldn't care less about bruised egos.

Case in point: he devastated Mitt Romney and the Republicans in 2012 despite their widespread unskewing and delusions of landslide. 

If you're a candidate running for office, you want to be on the right side of the Aritmetic because once he turns against you he can be unforgiving. 

Hillary learned what it's like to be on the wrong side of the Aritmetic when she lost her epic fight for the Democratic nomination against Obama in 2008.

But it seems like the Arimetic has warmed to her this cycle and is showing a clear bias for her in over her opponent Bernie Sanders. 

Case in point: Even if Bernie pulls off a surprise win in Michigan tonight, Hillary will still net more delegates due to her lopsided victory in Mississippi and her keeping Bernie’s margins in Michigan very close. 

The Aritmetic is clearly on Hillary’s side for the Democratic nomination. Bernie Sanders is running a strong campaign, but his fate may already be sealed by T.A.