I'm at the DNC. Well, I'm in boston for the hoopla. I still have yet to fenagle credentials. Anyway: I was just at the Rock The Vote/Pace University presentation of their poll of new registrants (people who are new as of 2000).
50% Kerry / 40% Bush
44% Bush / 42% Kerry / 6% Nader
Also:
39% of new voters are evangelical/born-again
(37% are under 25 and evangelical)
More details at Music for America