This could be significant, given that ARG has been among the friendliest polls to Kerry:
"The most significant result from the tracking for today is that support for Kerry, Clark, and Edwards dropped along with the continuing increase in support for Dean. Women 45 and older are returning to Howard Dean, helping to give him a 4 percentage-point gain on January 25 and a 5 percentage-point gain on January 26. Verbatims among this group point to fairness/sympathy for Dean and not beating George W. Bush driving the return to Dean. If the trend to Dean continues into tomorrow, the race will be very close as it appears that Kerry will not capture the undecided."
"More women than men will be voting in the Democratic primary and this keeps Dean closer to Kerry as Kerry leads Dean by 15 percentage points among men and 7 percentage points among women.
So where does this end up based on the tracking? Kerry gets a narrow win over Dean with Edwards and Clark trailing in third and fourth as most of the undecided is leaning back to Dean."
Yeah, I'm a rabid Deananista, but it looks as if Dean will get at worst the strong second he needs, at best the Broadway Joe/1980 USA Hockey-style upset win.
"I don't owe anything to anyone but you."