From the Field Poll, released one day after the humiliating approval numbers for Arnold.
In CA, typically, initiatives that start out below 50% are in serious, if not mortal, trouble. I think the redistricting one in particular can be slapped back by linking it to Tom DeLay and poster his corrupt mug up and down the state in all the commericials.
The cynically named "Live Within Our Means Act" can be linked to addition cuts in school funding, an issue that's been hanging around Arnie's neck and dragging his numbers down.
It looks like the teachers have their work cut out for them with the tenure proposition. Good thing they are raising $20 million this year from their members to fight it.
The full poll can be found here:
Voter support/opposition to the three special election initiatives supported by Governor Schwarzenegger (after being read a summary of its official ballot title and description)
State Spending, School Funding Initiative
Would vote yes 31% 35%
Would vote no 47% 42%
Undecided 22% 23%
Public School Teachers Tenure Initiative
Would vote yes 59% 61%
Would vote no 35% 32%
Undecided 6% 7%
Reapportionment/Redistricting of Legislative Boundaries Initiative
Would vote yes 33% 35%
Would vote no 44% 46%
Undecided 23% 19%