TN-Sen, VA-Sen: Backlashes brewing?

Daily Kos Staff

Monday October 30, 2006 · 1:54 PM PST

2006/10/30 · 13:54

In both Virginia and Tennessee Republicans have upped the sleaze ratio to unimaginable heights. In Tennesse, it's the overt racism in Corker's and the RNC's ads. In Virginia, it's accusations that Webb is a smut writer.

Yet despite the nastiness, both races are trending our way once again.

TENNESSEE (Senate, open)

Benenson (D) for Harold Ford. 10/26-28. Likely voters. MoE 4.1%

Now 10/14 9/21 Corker (R) 43 45 41 Ford (D) 48 46 48

VIRGINIA (Senate)

Garin Hart Yang (D) for the DSCC. 10/26-29. Likely voters. MoE 3.5% (No trend lines)

Allen (R) 38
with leaners: 43

Webb (D) 43
with leaners: 47

But wait, you say, those numbers (which I blogged earlier today) are internal numbers!

Yeah, they are. But Rasmussen will soon release a Sunday-night poll showing Webb with the lead:

Rasmussen. 10/25. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (10/25 results)

Allen (R) 46 (50)
Webb (D) 51 (48)

That includes leaners. Without, Webb leads 48-46, so the undecided are leaning Webb. This is a dramatic reversal.

In 2005, Democrat Tim Kaine surged in the polls after Republicans ran the infamous "Hitler ad". Now, Webb appears to be surging based on the bullshit attacks on his well-received, well-respected scholarly books.

We won't know for sure until Election Day, but if both Ford and Webb win, their victories will come despite having been subjected to the worst garbage imaginable from the GOP sleaze machine.

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