It looks like Marilyn Musgave is in real trouble in CD-4 in Colorado. According to Angie Paccione's campaign, they are in a virtual dead heat in the latest poll. This is simply amazing in CD-4. This is one of the reddest parts of the state. Paccione is goign to follow John Salazar to DC. Colorado is going to deliver in '06. How's it coming in your neck of the woods?
Here's the Press Release:
A recent in-depth survey of 600 likely voters in Colorado's Fourth Congressional District shows that State Rep. Angie Paccione is gaining momentum and is "locked in a statistical dead heat" with incumbent Rep. Marilyn Musgrave.
Polling conducted from May 31 to June 6 by Virginia-based Strategic Services, LLC, with a plus or minus 4 percent margin of error, shows that a majority of voters want "someone new" in the Fourth District seat. Only one-third would vote to re-elect Musgrave if the election were held today, while 59 percent give her negative job performance reviews.
The poll shows significant losses for Musgrave since a similar one conducted last July, before Paccione officially announced her campaign.
Last year, former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay named Musgrave one of the "ten most vulnerable Republicans" in Congress, calling on special interests to back Musgrave in the 2006 race. Corruption in Congress, rising gas prices, and frustration with the war in Iraq continue to dog Musgrave and the Republican leadership, adding up to "some of the worst numbers we have ever seen for a two-term incumbent," according to Strategic Services President and CEO Andrew Myers.
Musgrave's approval ratings suggest that Musgrave is in "major trouble" in the run-up to November. Myers says "nothing but good news dominates for Democrat Angie Paccione and her campaign."
Some key findings from the poll are below.
If the election were held today:
37% would vote for Musgrave
36% would vote for Paccione
On Musgrave's re-election:
51% of voters "believe it's time for someone new"
On job performance:
59% of voters rate Musgrave's performance as fair to poor
On the direction the country is headed:
58% of voters believe the nation is "on the wrong track"
66% of undecided voters believe we're "on the wrong track"
Strategic Services, LLC, of Springfield, Virginia, was founded in 2001 and has polled in political contests in 37 states, including dozens of races in Colorado. Andrew Myers has more than a decade of polling experience in more than 1,000 races nationwide. He formerly was Senior Analyst at Greenberg Quinlan Research and frequently lectures at George Washington University on qualitative and quantitative research methods.
