A poll mentioned at
theWMURchannel.com (where the debate will be streamed tonight, according to the site) says Kerry and Dean are in a dead heat. Of course, the story is dated yesterday and it's a tracking poll. Fox News and Boston Herald, etc., all seem to be claiming a current 10 point lead for Kerry.
What is the dKos estimate of the Kerry's lead right now? To be clear and repeat, I'm asking about right now, not what will happen by primary day after the debate, etc..