SUSA NC: McCain 49% Obama 45%

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Tuesday August 12, 2008 · 5:05 PM PDT

2008/08/12 · 17:05

In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina today, 08/12/08, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama 49% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive WTVD-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 12 weeks ago, McCain is down 2, Obama is up 2. McCain had led by 8, now 4. In Raleigh, there is slight movement to Obama. In Southern and Coastal NC, there is slight, offsetting movement to McCain. Among the better educated, there is movement to Obama. Among the less-educated, there is erosion in Obama's support. Blacks continue to vote 10:1 Obama. Whites continue to vote 2:1 McCain. Obama continues to lead 5:4 among the less affluent. McCain continues to lead 5:4 among the more affluent. Among men, McCain led by 20 points four weeks ago, leads by 9 today. Among women, Obama led by 7 points four weeks ago, leads by 2 today. A then-27-point Gender Gap is now 11 points. McCain holds 86% of the GOP base. Obama holds 71% of the Democrat base. Independents can't make up their minds.

http://www.surveyusa.com/...

Survey taken Saturday to Monday.

SUSA African-American McCain support, 9%, is not as wacky as in its other state polls, such as Virginia's 14%. But its 19% AA turnout seems a couple of percent low.

Overall, the poll shows that North Carolina is in play, with McCain retaining a slight advantage.

Edited to add Both the senate race and governor's race in the state are close. With Dole having a five point lead and Perdue a three point lead.

http://www.surveyusa.com/...

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