Prediction Thread -- WSJ/NBC Poll Margin Tonight

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Wednesday June 11, 2008 · 1:22 PM PDT

2008/06/11 · 13:22

Well, the first big post-unity poll is coming out tonight from NBC/WSJ and by all teasers, Obama is going to be ahead. The question is by how much. Just for kicks, I thought I'd start a prediction thread.

While my sincere wish is 15 pts, I'll be ecstatic with anything in the double digits. This poll is going to set the CW, at least for a few days, and will hopefully put a little scare into the Republicans.

My guess: 51-42, good guys ahead. That's a 9 point spread. Anyone else want to play?

Here's some info from WSJ:

WSJ/NBC Poll Shows Change Trumps Experience
Susan Davis reports on the presidential race.

The latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll results will be released later today, but an early teaser offers a snapshot on how voters are sizing up the John McCain-Barack Obama contest.

Asked to respond to two statements, 59% of voters said they believed “This is a time to have a president who will focus on progress and help move America forward,” while 37% of voters favored the statement, “This is a time to have a president who will focus on protecting what has made America great.” Just 4% said they weren’t sure.

What’s more, 54% said the statement that “This is a time when it is important to look for a person who will bring greater changes to the current policies even if he is less experienced and tested,” identified more with their personal view, while 42% said the statement that “This is a time when it is important to look for a more experienced and tested person even if he brings fewer changes to the current policies,” was more in line with their view of the race.

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