ABC/WashPost Poll: RV Obama 47, McCain 46 w/ some bad news.

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Monday September 08, 2008 · 4:01 PM PDT

2008/09/08 · 16:01

Good news first. Obama is still ahead among registered voters 47-46 but trails among likely voters 49-47.
Poll PDF

Voter enthusiasm is still with the Democrats.

Obama leads among issues voters by nearly 20 points.

Obama still has a 12 pt. edge among voters as to who they trust more to bring much needed change.

Now onto bad news.

Some of McCain’s biggest gains in this ABC News/Washington Post poll are among white women, a group to which "hockey mom" Sarah Palin has notable appeal: Sixtyseven percent view her favorably and 58 percent say her selection makes them more confident in McCain’s decision-making. Among those with children, Palin does better yet. And enthusiasm for McCain among his female supporters has soared. White women have moved from 50-42 percent in Obama’s favor before the conventions to 53-41 percent for McCain now, a 20-point shift in the margin that’s one of the single biggest post-convention changes in voter preferences. The other, also to McCain’s
advantage, is in the battleground Midwest, where he’s moved from a 19-point deficit to a 7-point edge.

A couple of thoughts. He needs to start reversing this trend in order to win as Sarah Palin pick seems to be undermining the Democratic coalition of progressive men, white women and minorities. Overall, this poll was taken September 5-7 at the height of McCain bounce so some of these numbers may be reversible. We'll see. All in all it is not a terrible poll (Hint- USA Today/ Gallup)

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