KANSAS POLL RESULTS – FEBRUARY 2009
The Research 2000 Kansas Poll was conducted from February 2 through February 4, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
NOTE: There was an over sample conducted among Republican primary voters totaling 400. The margin of error is 5%.
SAMPLEFIGURES:
Men 290 (48%)
Women 310 (52%)
Democrats 168 (28%)
Republicans 294 (49%)
Independents/Other 138 (23%)
18-29 108 (18%)
30-44 192 (32%)
45-59 198 (33%)
60+ 102 (17%)
District 1 149 interviews
District 2 152 interviews
District 3 150 interviews
District 4 149 interviews
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY
Men 220 (55%)
Women 180 (45%)
QUESTION: If the 2010 Republican Primary for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt?
ALL MEN WOMEN
Todd Tiahrt 24% 27% 21%
Jerry Moran 19% 17% 21%
Undecided (NOT READ) 57% 56% 58%
ALL VOTERS
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jerry Moran? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 12% 30% 13% 9% 36%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 42% 22% 36%
MEN 41% 24% 35%
WOMEN 43% 20% 37%
DEMOCRATS 23% 35% 42%
REPUBLICANS 55% 14% 31%
INDEPENDENTS 38% 23% 39%
18-29 39% 24% 37%
30-44 43% 22% 35%
45-59 41% 23% 36%
60+ 44% 20% 36%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Todd Tiahrt? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 13% 31% 15% 10% 31%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 44% 25% 31%
MEN 47% 23% 30%
WOMEN 41% 27% 32%
DEMOCRATS 21% 45% 34%
REPUBLICANS 59% 13% 28%
INDEPENDENTS 41% 27% 32%
18-29 40% 29% 31%
30-44 46% 24% 30%
45-59 43% 26% 31%
60+ 47% 22% 31%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Sebelius? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 15% 41% 25% 12% 7%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 56% 37% 7%
MEN 52% 42% 6%
WOMEN 60% 32% 8%
DEMOCRATS 75% 16% 9%
REPUBLICANS 42% 54% 4%
INDEPENDENTS 63% 27% 10%
18-29 59% 33% 8%
30-44 53% 40% 7%
45-59 58% 35% 7%
60+ 52% 41% 7%
QUESTION: If 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Kathleen Sebelius the Democrat and Jerry Moran the Republican?
SEBELIUS MORAN UNDECIDED
ALL 48% 36% 16%
MEN 43% 42% 15%
WOMEN 53% 30% 17%
DEMOCRATS 74% 6% 20%
REPUBLICANS 32% 57% 11%
INDEPENDENTS 51% 28% 21%
18-29 52% 31% 17%
30-44 46% 39% 15%
45-59 50% 34% 16%
60+ 44% 41% 15%
DISTRICT 1 40% 46% 14%
DISTRICT 2 56% 28% 16%
DISTRICT 3 57% 27% 16%
DISTRICT 4 39% 43% 18%
QUESTION: If 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Kathleen Sebelius the Democrat and Todd Tiahrt the Republican?
SEBELIUS TIAHRT UNDECIDED
ALL 47% 37% 16%
MEN 42% 43% 15%
WOMEN 52% 31% 17%
DEMOCRATS 74% 6% 20%
REPUBLICANS 30% 60% 10%
INDEPENDENTS 50% 27% 23%
18-29 52% 30% 18%
30-44 45% 40% 15%
45-59 49% 35% 16%
60+ 43% 42% 15%
DISTRICT 1 40% 47% 13%
DISTRICT 2 55% 28% 17%
DISTRICT 3 56% 26% 18%
DISTRICT 4 38% 47% 15%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
VERY FAV FAV UNFAV VERY UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 13% 35% 25% 16% 11%
FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
ALL 48% 41% 11%
MEN 45% 45% 10%
WOMEN 51% 37% 12%
DEMOCRATS 81% 12% 7%
REPUBLICANS 24% 63% 13%
INDEPENDENTS 59% 29% 12%
18-29 52% 37% 11%
30-44 45% 44% 11%
45-59 51% 38% 11%
60+ 44% 46% 10%
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