Charles Gaba, aka Brainwrap
, has become the go-to guy for Obamacare enrollment numbers, with wonks hanging on his every word. Don't believe that? Check out the Washington Post's Wonkblog
Meet Charles Gaba: He’s not a professional statistician, heath-care expert or political operative. He’s a self-described “numbers geek” who just wants to know how the new health-care law is doing.
He’s been tracking the most up-to-date enrollment information and offering his own projections on his blog, ACAsignups.net. On the same day that he predicted the 5 million signups milestone, he accurately predicted that California would hit the 1 million mark. For policy wonks and health-care journalists who have clamored for more information about Obamacare enrollment, Gaba’s blog has become a must-read.
His next big prediction: The final sign-up tally will hit 6.22 million.
That was followed up Thursday
with a public radio interview.
As of now, there's no indication that enrollments can't hit his 6.22 million target. Given the pace of enrollments in the first two weeks of the month, the Massachusetts experience with a late surge in last-minute sign-ups, and the all-out push by the White House for the next few weeks, it seems likelier than not.