So I'm supposed to do these every two weeks, but I forgot last week, so sorry about that. And it's too bad! Would've been nice to get a pre-debate check in. Oh well. Here's where things stood three weeks ago:
9/29 9/15 9/1 8/19 8/5 7/21 7/9 6/23 6/9
Sanders 62 62 58 58 58 57 67 63 69
Clinton 29 29 34 34 35 36 29 31 24
Other 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 3
No clue 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 1 2
This poll is nothing if not consistent. It was 58-34 for a long time. Then some people apparently got fed up with Clinton's no-show-unless-you-are-hosting-big-dollar-fundraiser campaign, and it was 62-29 the last two times we voted. For an unscientific web poll, this level of consistency is pretty amazing. Maybe with a sample size this large (7-8,000 votes), this thing suddenly becomes scientific after all? Beats me. Maybe someone who knows more about statistics can chime in.
In any case, this big thing called a "debate" happened last week, and it certainly seems to have contributed to Clinton's improving standing:
Before anyone complains that the pundits unfairly boosted Clinton by declaring her the winner, these were the same pundits who declared Carly Fiorina the big winner the last Republican debate, and she still trails badly
against the guy who supposedly lost. Pundits don't move numbers. People do. Me, I'm curious to see if the debate moved numbers here at Daily Kos, a place that looks significantly different than the Democratic Party at large.
Also—and this is very important—I'm curious to see who will pick up Jim Webb's zero percent of the vote now that he's out of the race? Vote!