Clinton 45% - Sanders 42% - O’Malley 3%
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This new Des Moines Register Poll is awesome news for Hillary! It’s close.
Taking into account that she’s leading in the Selzer poll, which is considered by many the 'gold standard’ in Iowa polling and factoring in all other recent polling showing Hillary slightly ahead, the Clinton campaign definitely has the momentum heading into the final push this weekend.
www.desmoinesregister.com/...
Selzer said the data suggest Clinton's support is more solid than Sanders'.
The poll shows 83 percent of Clinton’s caucus supporters have made up their minds going into Monday’s vote, up from 69 percent earlier this month.
“That’s huge,” Selzer said. “That’s a number any candidate would like to see.”
Sixty-nine percent of Sanders’ supporters are firmly behind him coming into the caucuses, about the same as earlier this month.
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Greg Dworkin shared this very informative tweet.
Ann Selzer thinks her poll’s internals point to a stronger position for Clinton!
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Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight Iowa Democratic Caucus forecast has been updated with the new Selzer Poll and it now shows Hillary with an 80% chance of winning!
Polls-only forecast is 74%!
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/…
FiveThirtyEight Iowa Democratic Caucus forecast
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It’s all about turnout now. Monday night should be a blast!
