Here’s another telling tweet:
As we all know, polls are consistently getting less reliable, but one area where they have excelled at being reliably unreliable is in counting Latino voters, a voting bloc that is only growing stronger with each election cycle. Two states to keep an eye on this cycle to bring surprising results based on Latino turnout: Florida and Nevada. Here’s Nevada political guru Jon Ralston questioning the results of yesterday’s CNN/ORC poll showing Trump beating Clinton in Nevada 49 percent to 43 percent, with 5 percent supporting Libertarian Gary Johnson.
Red flag, indeed. Remember how Harry Reid was going to lose his seat to ol’ Sharron “Second Amendment remedies” Angle in 2010? As LD points out, the pre-election polling average had Angle up by about three points. But the Latino vote estimate for Reid in those polls was anywhere from 55 to 70 percent statewide. That was a major undercount according to Latino Decisions’ pre- and post-election eve polls, which estimated that Reid won 90 percent of Latino voters.
Had the pre-elections accurately estimated a 90-10 split, they would have had Reid leading Angle by 3-5 points.
Reid ultimately triumphed with a nearly six-point edge, 50.3 to 44.5 percent.
Thursday, Nov 3, 2016 · 11:46:36 PM +00:00 · Kerry Eleveld
UPDATE: Maybe we should Arizona to the list-->>AZ Central: Arizona leads nation in early-voting surge by Latinos.
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