These upcoming years will put us to the test Democratic Riders.
That quote is the reason I WON'T let anyone discount 65,844,610... it was HARD....it mattered... It's great that a Democratic Woman set the bar for future women to shoot for.
Uh oh....…
Folks will hit their breaking point..…
Brothers and sisters out there…. please try to walk away.
The democratic party should take this personally….. I sure do.
Hispanic vote average since 76: 65.9 pct
African-American vote average since 76: 87.9
Party average since 76: 41/66/88
Obama 2012: 39/71/93
Clinton Estimated 2016: 37/66/88
Exhibit A:
There was a 17 point swing away from dems with Caucasians age 18-29 from 08-12. i Believe if democrats can crack the code and consistently win white voters under 30, it will go a long way toward future success.
civicyouth.org/... (download the pdf file.....yummy data folks!)
While Hillary Clinton won youth overall, she could not match President Obama’s level of support from young voters in his 2008 and 2012 electoral victories. Among some key segments of youth, the Clinton campaign was bested by Donald Trump; among others, she defeated him handily but did not benefit from the same margins as Obama did in his previous elections. Notably, Hillary Clinton lost White youth, 48% to 43%. However, that’s a trend—not an anomaly— for Democratic presidential candidates. In the last four elections, only Barack Obama got more support from White youth than the Republican candidate, and only in 2008.
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The party can make up ground here... significant ground… continue to fight for a popular party platform item is one way.
Still, behind Trump’s “victory” over Clinton with White youth lies her lagging performance among, especially, young White men—whose participation and influence surged in this election—and young moderate men. Moderates in particular were the largest ideological bloc of young voters, making up 38% of the youth electorate. (Well, I'll be damned! RTO) They were also the largest group among young White voters, and Donald Trump won White moderates by 48% to 39%. A crucial factor seems to have been gender. Moderate young women backed Clinton over Trump by a nearly 2-to-1 margin in this election, 61% to 33%. Moderate men, meanwhile, split their vote almost evenly between both candidates: 42% for Trump and 41% for Clinton. That represents a staggering drop from the support President Obama received in 2008 (67%) and even 2012 (55%). At least part of that shift is due to third-party candidates, which drew only 3% support from moderate men in 2008, but 17% this year.
Third Party blues..... The Ha Goodman Walker Bragman types contributed to fucking us. It showed up in the battleground states:
While Clinton's national margin of victory among young people was only four points worse than Obama's 60-to-37 edge, Michigan's exit poll shows her margin among young people there was five points worse (+28 for Obama vs. +23 for Clinton). In Florida, it was 16 points worse (+34 vs. +18). In Pennsylvania, it was 17 points worse (+28 vs. +9). And in Wisconsin, it was 20 points worse (+23 vs. +3).
Caveat: Exit polls, like any polls, are subject to error. Did Trump really only lose young people in Wisconsin by only three points? I'm very skeptical.
But if that number is anywhere close to accurate, it accounts for Clinton's narrow loss in the Badger State.
The story is similar in Pennsylvania. Clinton won those under 30 years old 52 to 43 after Obama won them 63 to 35, and in Florida, where Clinton won them 54 to 46 versus Obama's 66 to 32. It was closer in Michigan, where Clinton won the 57 to 34 versus Obama's 63 to 35. But, if you run the numbers in each state, had Clinton simply come closer to Obama's margin with young people, she would have won. www.washingtonpost.com/...
Turnout among minorities wasn't quite 2012ish in nature, but Solid enough to win.... Im Thinking A Harris Castro Combo with the option Of Brown Anchoring either of them could help us with millennial Caucasians. We can run consisent low 40s if we come with a platform more inclusive of MODERATE Millennial voters (can't believe they're the biggest millennial bloc.)
Sanders won more millennial voters (whites in particular) than Clinton and Trump combined. We're gonna need those folks to turn out, not go third party going forward. Ellison can possibly moderate his message to appeal to moderate young whites itching to join a cause or rebel against family tradition. Tom Perez if not Chair, is highly respected and liked by labor and would make one hell of a candidate for Maryland's governor. Cen dems and progressives voices BOTH need and will be heard... all hands on deck, heads up, on the grind.... time to go to work.
This is your morning thread... fire away.