!!!!!!!
This is a live phone poll that calls cell phones (half of the sample).
The pollster has a B rating from 538.
|
Percent Support |
Sanders |
47% (+8%) |
Clinton |
44% (-5%) |
This is the first national poll to ever show Sanders ahead.
Click here for the full results and cross tabs.
Crosstabs:
Gender:
Sanders Leads among men 52-40, Clinton leads among women 47-44.
Race:
Sanders leads among whites 54-39, Clinton leads among non-whites 53-36.
Education:
Sanders leads among voters without a college degree 49-42, Clinton leads among voters with college degrees 46-45.
Age:
Sanders leads by a whopping 70-26 among voters under age 45, Clinton leads 56-32 among voters age 45+.
Income:
Sanders leads 53-41 among voters earning less than $50,000, Clinton leads 46-45 among voters earning more than $50,000.
Ideology:
Sanders leads among liberals 52-42.
Party ID (note, not the same as party registration):
Clinton leads among Democrats 47-45.
Wow! Has this campaign ever come a long way?
Sanders has literally climbed to this point starting from nothing in the polls.
At the beginning, almost nobody had ever even heard of him.
But gradually, he got his message out.
People listened, and began to flock to support him.
Enormous crowds across the country.
He generated a tremendous grassroots movement.
A groundswell of genuine popular support that just won't stop rising.
All powered by small donors.
With the entirety of the political establishment arrayed against him.
Nobody believed this campaign would get to this point.
Clinton was supposed to be "inevitable.”
Just like she was supposed to be “inevitable” in 2008.
Bernie Sanders is like the energizer bunny…
He keeps going up… and going up… and going up…
Here's the trend in poll averages:
With this poll added in, it looks like he's going up some more…
And going up…
And going up…
If Clinton can’t stop Sanders' continuing momentum immediately, this campaign is going to be over soon.
But not in the way that anyone would have expected, even just a few months ago.