Daily Kos Elections Nevada Republican caucus open thread #4

Daily Kos Staff

Tuesday February 23, 2016 · 9:08 PM PST

2016/02/23 · 21:08

Nevada Republicans are holding their presidential caucuses tonight (the Democrats held theirs Saturday), and this is the place to discuss the results. Depending on the county and precinct, individual caucuses can begin anywhere from 8 to 10 PM ET.

Results: AP (statewide) | AP (by county) | NYT | Politico

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:13:49 AM +00:00 · David Nir

Shortly after midnight Eastern time, the networks and the Associated Press all called the Nevada GOP caucuses for Donald Trump. However, very few votes have actually been tallied, so we don’t know much more than that.

We do have entrance polls, finally, but those are notoriously subject to change. Right now, though, they point to a big Trump win. According to the entrance polls, Trump has 45, Marco Rubio 24, Ted Cruz 20, Ben Carson 5, and John Kasich 4.

If this holds up, that’s a plug-ugly night for everyone other than The Donald, though Beltway hacks will undoubtedly try to fluff Rubio as hard as they can. But no matter: This is a nice boost for Trump as we sail into Super Tuesday just a week from today, when about a dozen states will vote—and award a ton of delegates.

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:34:08 AM +00:00 · David Nir

CNN reporting that Rubio camp is happy with a strong second in Nevada
— Brandon Larrabee (@BylineBrandon) February 24, 2016

“Strong second"? Does Rubio think this is the Rio Olympics and that he gets to go home the proud owner of a silver medal?

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:36:37 AM +00:00 · David Nir

It is early, but Trump looks to be leaving NV ~+5 in the (NV) delegate count. That's one-tenth the surplus from SC. #rulesmatter
— Josh Putnam (@FHQ) February 24, 2016

A small number overall, but the psychological blow to the competition? Priceless.

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:40:18 AM +00:00 · David Nir

From the bowels of the entrance polls comes this on-target observation:

Yes it's a small subsample of Hispanics in #Nevada. Yes it's a huge MOE. No that won't stop Trump from claiming he beat Rubio w/ Hispanics.
— Tim Alberta (@TimAlberta) February 24, 2016

As we saw with the Democratic caucuses, taking accurate entrance polls of Hispanics seems incredibly difficult. But Trump certainly won’t care—he’ll have his talking point. And a credulous press will probably run with it.

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:43:34 AM +00:00 · David Nir

Hahahah:

I can't believe Donald Trump won the state that is Donald Trump in state form.
— Ken Jennings (@KenJennings) February 24, 2016

Trump: "This guy—he lost to a computer. A computer! That's like my cell phone beating me in the caucuses. My phone could beat Jeb—but that’s an awful thing to say.”

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:51:47 AM +00:00 · David Nir

We’re only at 8% reporting, but the results so far are pretty much in line with the entrance polls: Trump 44, Rubio 24, Cruz 21, Carson 6, and Kasich 4. How humiliating would it be for Kasich to finish behind Carson!

Wednesday, Feb 24, 2016 · 5:54:56 AM +00:00 · Barbara Morrill

New thread here.

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