This is an interesting one, but I’m adding it to the mix because it hasn’t been reported on yet. The polling happened April 5-6, which obviously predates all of the crazy things that have happened since then: “unqualified,” the Pope trip, the huge Washington Square rally, and the debate. And only one day would include the reaction to the April 5 Wisconsin primary.
As I said, interesting numbers; not sure what to make of them. Huffington Post and Real Clear Politics have included other polls by Gravis, so at the very least this isn’t one to completely ignore; I guess it will show up on those sites by tomorrow.
Here are the details of the poll, from One America News Network:
One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 857 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,134 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.3% for Republicans and ± 2.9% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted on April 5th and 6th. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology), with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.
So it’s an automated telephone (landlines? mobiles?) poll from a C-rated pollster (per 538, not that they’re infallible). That’s a decent sample size of 1134 likely Democratic voters, though. Not sure how to read this one, and it appears the first
in the field published poll for New York from this pollster, so we don’t even have anything prior for comparison. Just another poll to throw on the pile, I guess.