As we do every four years, Daily Kos Elections is calculating the results of the 2016 presidential election for all 435 congressional districts, and this series of posts explores the most interesting results on a state-by-state basis. You can find our complete data set here, which we’re updating continuously as the precinct-level election returns we need for our calculations become available. You can also click here to learn more about why this data is so difficult to come by.
Hillary Clinton carried Oregon 52-41, a small drop from Barack Obama's 55-42 win in 2012. Clinton won the same four congressional districts that Obama carried, but one was excruciatingly close.
While Obama took Democratic Rep. Peter DeFazio's 4th District 52-45, Clinton defeated Donald Trump here 46.1-46.0, a margin of 554 votes. DeFazio himself easily won re-election 55-40 against Art Robertson in this seat, which includes both liberal Eugene and more conservative areas along the coast and inland. The GOP has never had much luck recruiting a viable candidate against DeFazio, who decisively defeated that very same Art Robertson during the 2010 and 2014 GOP waves, and in 2012 for good measure. But if DeFazio leaves this seat behind, the GOP could make a serious play for it.
The 5th District, which is centered around Salem, was close, but Clinton's margin of victory was slightly better than Obama's. Obama won the 5th 50.5-47.1, but Clinton carried it 48.3-44.1. Democratic Rep. Kurt Schrader beat an underfunded Republican 53-43, and he also won by double digits against a weak opponent in the 2014 wave. This is another seat that could be competitive if Schrader retires, or if Team Red lands a much stronger opponent. Oregon's other three seats look very safe for the party that holds them. Clinton won the suburban Portland 1st 57-35, and took the Portland-based 3rd 71-22. Trump carried the inland 2nd 57-36.
