With all the diaries cheering release of the U.S. Global Change Research Program’s NCA 2017/2018 [wik link] — & talking about it without quoting or specifying what’s actually in it, I wondered if we could get online access to it, and yes, we can, thanks to the National Indian Health Board www.nihb.org emails with links for finding it.
Powerful reading, and sections offer more links for downloading & sharing material of particular interest. Find a summary of Vol. I’s science report down at Vol.II Chapter 2 (Our Changing Climate). This diary paraphrases & quotes (w/o the grayboxes) highlights that supply clarity. Typos are my transcription errors, since copypasting wasn’t possible at all points. Ch 15 and 20 are in Vol.II after the second r/w/b divider like this:
The National Indian Health Board www.nihb.org annotated Chapter 15 of Volume II as follows:
The chapter documents the existing and projected impact of climate change on Tribal livelihoods and economies, health outcomes, and adaptive capacity. The chapter also makes the case for incorporating Indigenous knowledge and wisdom towards developing solutions to mitigate climate change-related disasters. |
is an authoritative assessment of the science of climate change, with a focus on the U.S… the first of the 2 volumes of the Fourth NCA mandated by the Global Change Research Act of 1990….
<big>This Volume/Report</big> https://science2017.globalchange.gov/chapter/front-matter-about/) is designed to elucidate risks and inform consistent, “end-to-end” decision-making on responses about climate change mitigation, adaptation, economic valuation, and societal responses, by providing updated, detailed analysis of effects of change on weather and climate across the US, and projections of further change, including extremes. See Vol. II’s resilience analyses.
Chapters
Chapter Sections
<big>This volume </big>https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/front-matter-about/ draws on the science in Vol. I, for a thorough examination of the human welfare, societal, and environmental elements of climate change and variability in 10 regions and 18 national topics, with particular attention to ■ observed and projected risks ■ impacts ■ consideration of risk reduction ■ implications under different mitigation pathways ■ and with —where possible — <big>examples of actions underway in communities across the Us</big> for reducing risks, increasing resilience, and improving livelihoods. Again, to help inform all decision-makers: utility and natural resource managers, public health officials, emergency planners, and other stakeholders at every level. Vol I’s science is summarized in Chapter 2 Our Changing Climate below, or access the full report at science2017.globalchange.gov
<big>But first, WHO PREPARED THIS REPORT & HOW WAS IT ACHIEVED:</big>
Report Development, Review, and Approval Process …The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) served as the administrative lead agency, with representatives from USGCRP agencies … a team of more than 300 experts, including individuals from federal, state, and local governments, tribes and Indigenous communities, national laboratories, universities, the private sector, volunteering their time, with external stakeholders at every phase, in a series of regional engagement workshops reaching more than 1,000 individuals in over 40 cities, listening sessions, webinars, and public comment periods provided valuable input to the authors. Participants included public and private sector decision-makers, resource and environmental managers, scientists, educators, representatives from businesses and nongovernmental organizations, and the interested public. An ad hoc committee of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine performed an expert external peer review of the whole report. See additional information in Appendix 1: Report Development Process.
<big>And second, WHAT USABLE THINGS WERE PRODUCED BY THIS PROJECT:</big>
Sustained Assessment Products include • The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment • Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report • the Dept of Agriculture’s scientific assessment Climate Change, Global Food Security, and the U.S. Food System • NOAA’s <big> Climate Resilience Toolkit,</big> Climate Explorer, and State Climate Summaries • the Environmental Protection Agency’s updated economic impacts of climate change report • a variety of USGCRP indicators and scenario products that support the evaluation of climate-related risks see Appendix 3: Data Tools and Scenario Products)
USGCRP Scenario Products hosted at https://scenarios.globalchange.gov include: ■ changes in average and extreme statistics of key climate variables (for example, temperature and precipitation) ■ changes in local sea level rise along the entire U.S. coastline ■ <big>changes in population as a function of demographic shifts and migration</big> ■ </big>changes in land use driven by population changes </big> ■ <big>future scenarios</big> (RCPs) focus on outputs such as emissions and concentrations of greenhouse gases and particulate matter to feed into climate models for a range of projected socioeconomic assumptions, at the global and national scale, such as population growth, technological innovation, and carbon intensity of energy mix...
Chapters in Volume II
13. Air Quality
14. Human Health
15. Tribes & Indigenous Peoples
[Sections:] ■ Executive Summary ■ State of the Sector ■ Key Message 1: Indigenous Livelihoods and Economies at Risk ■ Key Message 2: Health Risks ■ Key Message 3: Adaptive Capacity ■ Traceable Accounts ■ References
16. Climate Effects on U.S. International Interests
17. Sectoral Interactions, Multiple Stressors, & Complex Systems
<big>Regions</big>
18. Northeast
19. Southeast
20. U.S. Caribbean [Sections] ■ Executive Summary ■ Background ■ Key Message 1: Fresh Water ■ KM 2: Marine Resources ■ KM 3: Coastal Systems ■ KM 4: Rising Temperatures ■ KM 5: Disaster Risk Response to Extreme Events ■ KM 6: Adaptive Capacity ■ Traceable Accounts ■ References ■
Figure 20.1: The U.S. Caribbean includes the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the territory of the U.S. Virgin Islands. The region includes seven inhabited islands and nearly 800 smaller islands and cays.
<big><big>Shared Vulnerabilities of U.S. Caribbean and Pacific Islands</big></big>
The U.S. Caribbean islands face many of the same climate change related challenges as Hawai‘i and the U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands (Ch. 27: Hawai‘i & Pacific Islands), including
- isolation and dependence on imports, making islands more vulnerable to climate-related impacts;
- critical dependence on local sources of freshwater (Ch. 27, KM 1);
- temperature increases that will further reduce supply and increase demand on freshwater (Ch. 27, KM 1);
- vulnerability to drought in ways that differ from mainland regions (Ch. 27, KM 1);
- a projected significant decrease in rainfall in all (Caribbean) or parts (Hawai‘i and Pacific Islands) of these regions (Ch. 27, KM 1);
- sea level rise, coastal erosion, and increasing storm impacts that threaten lives, critical infrastructure, and livelihoods on islands (Ch. 27, KM 2–4);
- prominent concerns about the economic consequences of coastal threats (Ch. 27, KM 3);
- coral bleaching and mortality due to warming ocean surface waters and ocean acidification (Ch. 27, KM 4); and
- threats to critical economic marine resources, including fisheries (Ch. 27, KM 4).
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21. Midwest
22. Northern Great Plains
23. Southern Great Plains
24. Northwest
25. Southwest
26. Alaska
27. Hawai‘i & U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands
Includes ■ Report in Brief ■ Report in Brief (Español) ■ Summary Findings ■ Chapters 1 thru 29 ■ Frequently Asked Questions ■ Public Reviews ■ Public Comments and Author Responses ■ Author Responses to National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine ■ ■ Review by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine ■ Response to the Academies Review ■