I am trying to read the news out of Ukraine carefully. I have now figured – maybe the next big war will start in eastern Europe again – as it did the last two world wars – and I cannot even believe we will repeat history three times in a row. I am trying to be careful how much I read into this stuff.
But here is the deal – Russia has now moved 28 more battalions (maybe 3 divisions) in position on the border to attack - in the middle of winter no less - and they have massive strength behind that lead force. They also moved sophisticated missile launch systems, too - nuclear capable – to the border. Like they are setting the stage here, to me. Leading me to believe the Ukrainian commander is likely right – Russia may move.
They had earlier sent in Chechen sniper units to the area near Mariupol. They just got their first real targets too. That is deep behind that straight they took control of – it is a main port for Ukraine.
Many actions there have taken place in the Donbass region – but it is clearly picking up steam to me. I think they are probing – not just isolated attacks – more concerted – like hitting the same position in waves – see the weaknesses. They are doing that.
THERE IS GOOD NEWS THOUGH –
Apparently – maybe a week ago – NATO let some clever fighter pilots play with the S-400 Russian defenses (their big bad defense). Those F-22s and F-35s made the Russian systems so confused they got them to aim at their own systems. Pretty amazing – even for our great pilots.
It just feels like to me – they are waiting for us to be so screwed up in our own political mess as to be so distracted that they think they have impunity. This is exactly how miscalculations happen. How some wars start.
Feel free to read thru their news feeds. UNIAN – they do not have the same filters we have for this stuff. They are very straight up –but remember, this is their world view. And they are basically fighting for their lives.
Make of it what you will. I know what I think.
I think this has to stop — right here. RIght now.