MI-Pres: Michi-Gone? Trump's favorite pollster has him down NINE POINTS in Michigan

It’s become pretty clear lately that Rasmussen Reports is the favorite pollster for the right—and Trump in particular. Whenever he tries to claim that he has an approval rating of 50 percent or better, invariably it’s from the House of Ras.

That’s why when I was checking out FiveThirtyEight’s models today, I was stunned to see a Rasmussen poll out of Michigan that has Trump trailing Biden by a whopping nine points, 53-44.

Unfortunately, the internals are paywalled. But the fact that the go-to pollster for the right has Trump down nine in a major swing state is absolutely staggering—even allowing for evidence that makes it increasingly difficult to call Michigan a swing state. FiveThirtyEight’s polling average currently has Biden leading in Michigan by 7.7 points, and its forecast has him an 86 percent favorite to win Michigan—also by around 7.7 points. 

And now Rasmussen, of all people, has Biden leading by nine. If this is repeated in November, then at the very least Biden has rebuilt the blue wall by flipping Wisconsin and Pennsylvania as well. In other words, if this is accurate, it has to be a flashing red light for Trump. After all, if Rasmussen has Trump down by this much, the actual spread is probably in the 8-10 point range—hardly what you’d expect from as swing state. To my mind, it’s enough to move Michigan to “likely Biden.”

We already know that Biden isn’t taking the Rust Belt for granted. Take this poll as more reason to turn the screws on Trump and GOTV.