Disgraced Trump aide Stephen Miller tells Politico the issue will help the GOP win the 2022 midterms. In 2018, Miller also claimed Trump's anti-immigrant caravan obsession would be the linchpin to GOP successes that year. Democrats went on to trounce Republicans by a 41-seat margin. So perhaps Miller is just a racist, misogynist homophobe whose political instincts aren't all that keen.
From Dr. Seuss to cancel culture, this is just one more manufactured GOP issue. As Kate Oakley, state legislative director and senior counsel at the Human Rights Campaign, noted, GOP state legislators backing sports bans for trans athletes have struggled to identify cases in their own states where the issue ever even arose. In other words, it's a solution looking for a problem.
The braintrust within the Republican Party (whoever that is) seems to think the issue can get traction with suburban moms. But once again, Trump's ham-handed appeal to "Suburban Housewives of America" wasn't exactly the work of a crackerjack strategist.
In fact, Media Matters for America (MMFA) had some pretty interesting data on the group of people who were most animated on social media during the historic Senate confirmation hearing last week of Dr. Rachel Levine, a transgender woman nominated by President Biden to serve as assistant health secretary.
MMFA found that nearly 90% of interactions about the hearing were on right-wing political Facebook pages. So not exactly the political fastball Republicans think, though it certainly plays well with a group of people who will never ever vote for a Democrat anyway.