After the Taliban took Kabul, three weeks ago, one body of expert opinion in Afghanistan, both foreign and Afghan, took a wait and see attitude on to what extent, if any, the Taliban would make good on their promises to create an inclusive government, beyond Taliban officials.
They were seeing a power struggle between more worldly “political” Taliban, and hardliners. They were also calling attention to an increasing frequency of signs that the hardliners would win.
Here is Martine van Bijlert, at Afghanistan Analysts Network, along those lines. She has lived under the previous Taliban regime.
In the absence of a strong, on-the-ground leader, there have been indications of power struggles between different Ghilzai and Durrani leaders, eastern and southern networks, and hardliners and those looking for more flexibility (see also this article).
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Talk of a unity government has gone quiet for the moment. Although members of the Taleban’s political commission continue to meet a wide array of social, political and geographical groups in photographed gatherings – including Shia leaders, academics and provincial delegations – and several figures linked to the previous government have declared their baya or allegiance to the movement, [1] it does not seem that anybody outside the Taleban’s circle is involved in any substantive discussions.
The Moment in Between: After the Americans, before the new regime, Martine van Bijlert, Afghanistan Analysts Network
That is has taken the Taliban three weeks to announce a government, suggests that the power struggle between factions was in fact intense and prolonged.
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