Pandemic Observations -- December 7, Top 40+ Nations (Situation Still Unclear):

The Road Ahead?

Not sure what happened to my first attempt at publishing this installment of my weekly blog (it may have had something to do with trying to use my phone to publish from a draft after repeated “slow your roll” timeout failures for unclear reasons), but the formatting was completely wrecked — so I’m trying once again.

US stats are getting increasingly chaotic with more irregular reporting intervals in different states, so don’t pay too much attention to the seemingly alarming trends this week (much of this data should have showed up in last week’s stats). Likewise, while China continues to move up the ranks for new cases, the extremely rapid growth we’ve seen for the past 5+ weeks seems to have slowed suddenly this week, which doesn’t make much sense if China really is backing off from its previous Zero-Covid policies.  Elsewhere, Latin America and Australia appear to be ramping up strongly again, though Europe and Northeast Asia may be slowing their recent growth.  

Top 40+ Nations: December 1-7

New Deaths	7-Day D/1M	7-Day Deaths	Weekly Change	14.Day Change	Change fr Max
World Finland Hong Kong Croatia Latvia N.Macedonia Sweden Italy Barbados USA Chile Japan Cyprus Taiwan Germany New.Zealand France Canada Estonia So Korea Portugal UK Australia Iceland Slovenia Ireland Hungary Israel Austria Peru Czechia Spain Denmark Serbia Brazil Paraguay Jamaica Lithuania Switzerland Russia Slovakia Belgium Malaysia Thailand Philippines Indonesia Ukraine Poland So Africa Mexico India	1.5 22.4 15.6 13.4 11.1 11.1 10.6 10.5 10.4 10.0 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.0 7.7 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.2 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.3 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.0	11,606 124 117 55 21 23 107 635 3 3,305 183 1,175 11 214 741 40 505 263 9 341 67 432 160 2 12 28 50 42 42 152 49 207 25 33 782 25 9 8 25 398 14 29 54 105 153 282 41 31 36 77 27	26% -32% 4% 45% 2000% 2300% 15% 9% 300% 156% -4% 17% 38% -22% -11% -31% 15% -16% 0% 0% 22% -26% 45% 0% -33% -3% 19% 5% -19% 37% 29% -20% -22% -6% 48% 150% 13% -33% 56% 5% 0% -3% -4% 42% 12% -8% 2% 15% 9% 157% 42%	-1% -13% 62% 27% 47% 475% 13% 79% -25% -4% 4% 55% 6% -35% -19% 3% 6% -24% -25% 0% 61% -34% 31% 0% 233% 39% -31% 134% -2% 32% 5% 16% -26% 26% 85% 600% 0% 5% 52% -8% -59% -13% -4% 61% 59% 3% -75% -40% 116% 34% -47%	-89% -52% -94% -90% -92% -92% -84% -89% -92% -86% -98% -48% -70% -82% -88% -82% -93% -79% -89% -86% -97% -95% -74% -82% -97% -93% -97% -90% -95% -98% -97% -97% -92% -93% -96% -97% -92% -97% -97% -95% -98% -99% -98% -94% -92% -98% -99% -99% -99% -99% -100%	Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 45 48 49 53 55 56 62 63 85

D/1M = New Covid-19 deaths per 1 million population over prior 7 days

C/1M = New Covid-19 cases per 1 million population over prior 7 days

Weekly Change = Net change from previous week's stats

14-Day Change = Net Change from previous 14-Day period

Change fr Max = Net change from week of peak deaths or new cases

Bold = Nations experiencing significant upward movement in cases and/or deaths

Note:  Only nations with >250,000 population included

All data derived from worldometer

Top 40+ Nations: December 1-7

New Cases	7-Day C/1M	7-Day Cases	Weekly Change	14.Day Change	Change fr Max
World Hong Kong So Korea New.Zealand France Japan Slovenia Australia Taiwan Italy Austria New.Caledonia Cyprus Fr Guiana Latvia Peru Finland Germany Switzerland Mayotte Panama Fr Polynesia USA Singapore Reunion Chile Qatar Israel Lithuania Brazil Sweden Barbados Belgium Denmark Czechia Costa Rica Guatemala Iceland Hungary Serbia Croatia Spain Malaysia Portugal Canada UK Netherlands Russia Argentina Mexico Indonesia Philippines Thailand China	473 9,488 7,502 6,897 6,325 6,030 5,116 4,234 4,149 3,759 3,730 3,726 3,320 3,127 2,752 2,368 2,283 2,275 2,135 1,792 1,641 1,523 1,453 1,442 1,358 1,331 1,306 1,275 1,088 1,058 820 751 708 579 556 545 540 510 487 483 459 413 405 395 392 363 317 308 280 125 90 69 61 21	3,682,740 71,172 384,834 34,497 413,034 761,567 10,641 108,053 98,833 227,420 33,573 1,076 4,011 938 5,186 78,138 12,646 190,635 18,478 503 7,091 431 481,011 8,441 1,217 25,415 3,651 11,042 2,960 224,896 8,278 216 8,214 3,354 5,947 2,779 8,963 174 4,704 4,214 1,882 19,303 13,071 4,025 14,777 24,645 5,419 44,936 12,609 16,094 24,688 7,566 4,284 30,402	8% 20% 3% 28% 16% 5% 38% 23% -3% -1% 8% 16% -5% 30% 859% 59% 15% 5% -3% -11% 10% 173% 96% -8% 36% -18% 69% -12% 33% 23% 53% -12% 22% 17% 14% 9% 84% 9% 10% 12% 9% -11% -22% -22% -5% 10% 5% 13% 279% 111% -34% -8% -13% 17%	26% 35% 2% 35% 70% 25% 74% 39% -22% 72% 22% 194% 12% 390% 11% 219% 9% 7% -11% 291% 202% 1863% 25% -35% 95% -28% 42% 42% 63% 102% 71% -15% 52% 42% 24% 3% 106% -10% 5% -8% 29% -7% -23% 5% -14% -1% -30% 16% 332% 102% -31% 4% 29% 108%	-84% -80% -86% -76% -84% -55% -90% -84% -83% -82% -89% -89% -88% -92% -92% -78% -83% -88% -93% -97% -89% -98% -91% -93% -97% -90% -87% -98% -96% -82% -97% -95% -98% -99% -98% -96% -75% -99% -96% -96% -97% -98% -94% -99% -95% -98% -99% -97% -98% -95% -94% -97% -98% 0%	Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 42 43 45 46 47 50 52 54 64 69 77 79 98

Following are the Power Rankings for the most important nations currently driving the global pandemic ranked in terms of total new infections and new deaths during the past week:

Top 40 Nations by New Deaths: December 1-7

	7-Day deaths	14-day Increase	%Global
World USA Japan Brazil Germany Italy France UK Russia So Korea Indonesia Canada Taiwan Spain Chile Australia Philippines Peru Finland Hong Kong Sweden Thailand Mexico Portugal Croatia Malaysia Hungary Czechia Israel Austria Ukraine New.Zealand So Africa Serbia Poland Belgium Ireland India Denmark Paraguay Switzerland	11,606 3,305 1,175 782 741 635 505 432 398 341 282 263 214 207 183 160 153 152 124 117 107 105 77 67 55 54 50 49 42 42 41 40 36 33 31 29 28 27 25 25 25	0.3% 0.4% 4.5% 0.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 2.3% 0.4% 1.2% 3.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 4.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 3.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3%	100% 28.5% 10.1% 6.7% 6.4% 5.5% 4.4% 3.7% 3.4% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%	Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40

14-Day Increase = Net increase of current 14-day numbers over prior cumulative totals

Global% = Share of Global Totals

Top 40 Nations by New Cases: December 1-7

	7-Day Cases	14-Day Increase	%Global
World Japan USA France So Korea Italy Brazil Germany Australia Taiwan Peru Hong Kong Russia New.Zealand Austria China Chile Indonesia UK Spain Switzerland Mexico Canada Malaysia Finland Argentina Israel Slovenia Guatemala Singapore Sweden Belgium Philippines Panama Czechia Netherlands Latvia Hungary Thailand Serbia Portugal	3,682,740 761,567 481,011 413,034 384,834 227,420 224,896 190,635 108,053 98,833 78,138 71,172 44,936 34,497 33,573 30,402 25,415 24,688 24,645 19,303 18,478 16,094 14,777 13,071 12,646 12,609 11,042 10,641 8,963 8,441 8,278 8,214 7,566 7,091 5,947 5,419 5,186 4,704 4,284 4,214 4,025	1.1% 6.2% 0.7% 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 6.3% 0.4% 3.2% 1.2% 19.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%	100% 20.7% 13.1% 11.2% 10.4% 6.2% 6.1% 5.2% 2.9% 2.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%