Some Guy back in January:
...Across these 19 states alone, ACA Medicaid expansion enrollment is up 788,245 people since last March, or 6.7% overall. If you remove Missouri and Oklahoma, it's still up 4.28% since then, and again, this is still as much as 8 months out of date depending on the state. Assuming Illinois is wrong, removing it as well puts expansion enrollment up 5.4% since last March.
Assuming these states are representative, it's safe to assume that Medicaid expansion is up at least 4.3% nationally since March 2022, or around an additional 960,000 people. If you go with the higher end estimate (+5.4%), it would be up over 1.2 million nationally.
That puts the grand total at somewhere between 39.9 - 40.1 million people with ACA-enabled healthcare covered nationally.
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), this morning:
Biden-Harris Administration Celebrates the Affordable Care Act’s 13th Anniversary and Highlights Record-Breaking Coverage
- During 2023 open enrollment a record high 16.4 million people signed up, with 4.4 million more people enrolled for health insurance under the Biden-Harris Administration since 2021
- New HHS report shows more than 40 million people are currently enrolled in Marketplace or Medicaid expansion coverage related to provisions of the Affordable Care Act -- the highest total on record
Today, the Biden-Harris Administration celebrated the 13th anniversary of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) by highlighting record-breaking enrollment numbers during the 2023 Marketplace Open Enrollment Period and lower health care costs because of President Biden’s American Rescue Plan (ARP) and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Since 2014, when HealthCare.gov was launched, enrollment has doubled from 8 million to more than 16 million. Nearly 16.4 million consumers selected or were automatically re-enrolled in health insurance coverage through HealthCare.gov Marketplaces and State-based Marketplaces (SBMs) during the 2023 open enrollment. Enrollment has increased year-over-year, with 1.8 million more consumers signing up for coverage during the 2023 open enrollment compared to the 2022 open enrollment, a 13% increase, and nearly 4.4 million more consumers signing up compared to the 2021 open enrollment, a 36% increase.
...National estimates show that, on average, consumers receiving advanced premium tax credits (APTC) continue to save over $800 in premiums per year thanks to the expanded subsidies made available through the ARP and continued by the IRA. Nationwide, 4.6 million more consumers are receiving financial assistance in 2023, compared to 2021, representing 90% of all 2023 plan selections – meaning, 90% of people selecting plans are receiving help to pay for premiums. And thanks to these laws passed by the Biden-Harris Administration, 1.4 million middle income consumers (those with household incomes over 400% of the Federal Poverty Level (FPL), or about $54,000 for an individual), who were previously ineligible for assistance, were able to access financial help during the 2023 open enrollment. As a result of the continued expanded subsidies, the average monthly premium after APTC for enrollees fell by 21%.
This year, individuals benefited from a highly competitive Marketplace. Ninety-two percent of HealthCare.gov enrollees had access to plans from three or more insurance companies. Also, new standardized plan options, called Easy Pricing plans, were available in 2023 through HealthCare.gov, which helped consumers compare and select plans.
...The Administration invested $98.9 million in Navigator grant funding for the 2023 Open Enrollment Period to help reduce health disparities by ensuring robust Navigator services. More than 1,500 Navigators were available to assist consumers with applying for and enrolling in Marketplace coverage for the 2023 plan year in line with the Administration’s goal to expand access to health insurance for America’s families.
...Today, HHS also released a report from the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation (ASPE) that shows more than 40 million people are currently enrolled in Marketplace or Medicaid expansion coverage related to provisions of the ACA -- the highest total on record.
Key points from today’s ASPE report include the following:
- Marketplaces and Medicaid expansion, programs created by the Affordable Care Act (ACA), have enrolled tens of millions of Americans since the programs launched in participating states in 2014.
- An estimated 15.6 million consumers were enrolled in Marketplace plans in February 2023 (across all 50 states and the District of Columbia), and 18.8 million people (across 38 participating states and the District of Columbia) were newly enrolled in Medicaid via the ACA’s expansion of eligibility to adults as of September 2022.
- 1.2 million individuals were enrolled in early 2023 in the ACA’s Basic Health Program option, and 4.6 million previously eligible adults gained coverage under the Medicaid expansion by September 2022 due to enhanced outreach, streamlined applications, and increased federal funding under the ACA.
- Across these coverage groups, a total of 40.2 million Americans were enrolled in coverage related to the ACA based on 2022 and early 2023 enrollment data, the highest total on record. This represents 9.3 million more people enrolled than in 2021 (a 30% increase) and 27.6 million more people enrolled than in 2014 (a 219% increase, or more than triple).
OK, I was off by 0.2%. Can’t win ‘em all.