Oh, Noez!! Too many court cases! Too many defendants! No, not in this court! Not with this crazy person! No, you’re the crazy! No, you can’t say that! But I vas chust following orders! Oh, yes, say the various judges, yes, the prosecutors can. On TV, in Georgia. And E. Jean Carroll won a summary judgment against Trump on collateral estoppel, meaning that they don’t have to have a trial on the evidence from her previous case. The trial will only consider damages. Lawrence O’Donnell was giddy over the phrase and the result last night.
Carroll arriving for her previous trial against Trump in May
And a new reply to Doomsters, and a new list of science sources.
BTW, we are informed that Kenneth Chesebro’s name is officially pronounced Chez-bro, not Cheese-Bro. That won’t stop all of the cheesy jokes, but we can politely take note.
Gloom & Doomsters
Feel free to copy and paste the following in any Gloom & Doom Diary or comment thread. I have lightly edited my previous such message, with current dates and all-new polling. It has held up remarkably well. This is in the Good News queue, accessible by all of our authors.
- With everything that one can blame both sides for, we won big in 2018 and 2020, and mostly in 2022, and we are going to win bigger in November 2024.
- With all of the hand-wringing and nay-saying and doom-crying on our side, you have to remember that the Dark Side is in a blind, raging, screaming, existential panic that is making everything even worse for them.
- With all that is wrong in our education system, media, and the Internet, they continue to work as intended, and get out far more information than Russian and Republican lies.
- There are a lot more of us than of them, and we are more motivated to turn out this year, while many of them are threatening to stay home or write in Trump if he isn’t the nominee because of the 14th Amendment or being a convict.
270toWin Presidential Election Polls
Here are the swingiest states, within three points in the most recent poll. FiveThirtyEight does not have state polling averages up yet.
2024 Swing State Polls
| State |
EC Votes |
Margin |
Last poll date |
| North Carolina |
16 |
Trump 1.0% |
Jun. 8 |
| Georgia |
16 |
Trump 1.0% |
Jun. 9 |
| Michigan |
15 |
Biden 1.0% |
Aug. 17 |
| Texas |
40 |
Trump 2.0% |
May 24 |
|
|
11 |
Trump 2.0% |
Aug. 8 |
|
|
19 |
Trump 2.0% |
Aug. 24 |
|
|
10 |
Trump 3.0% |
Apr. 25 |
|
|
6 |
Biden 3.0% |
Jul. 7 |
|
|
13 |
Biden 3.0% |
Aug. 3 |
Biden leads by 7% or more in New Hampshire, New Mexico. and Wisconsin.
Trump is ahead by 10% in Ohio and Florida.
Overall, the 270toWin map is at Democrats 276-262 Republicans.
Now, go back and look at Texas—Trump by 2%. If we can flip Texas this time, it’s all over.
Members of Gen Z who are not yet 18 and have not registered or voted do not show up in the RV and LV polls. This is a massive Democratic undercount.
Their own children will, by the millions every year.
The Week: The kids are all Democrats
For over a decade, young people have been voting overwhelmingly for progressives and, more importantly, telling pollsters that they identify with or lean towards supporting the Democratic Party.
If you think that's always been the case, you're wrong…
Pew Social Trends: Millennial life: How young adulthood today compares with prior generations
Among registered voters, 59% of Millennials affiliate with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic, compared with about half of Boomers and Gen Xers (48% each) and 43% of the Silent Generation. With this divide comes generational differences on specific issue areas, from views of racial discrimination and immigration to foreign policy and the scope of government.
They are throwing away their youngsters as their oldsters die off in more than the normal manner.
They are also throwing away suburban women and even some Evangelicals. They are driving Blacks, Latinos, Native Americans, Asians, LGBTQs, Muslims, Jews, and others in our coalition to unprecedented activism. And so on.
But the MSM argues over electability and Soshulism and he said, she said, and Oh, Noesky, Dem extremists are driving voters to Trump. As if.
I usually mine our usual Good News sources in these GNRs, but I’ll leave that this time. Also Repellent Rascals Rushing to Ruin. Sufficient unto the day is the paskudnyakery thereof.
Science! Animals! Weirdness!
General Science Links
More to come.
The ELT will search for extrasolar planets—planets orbiting other stars. This will include not only the discovery of planets down to Earth-like masses through indirect measurements of the wobbling motion of stars perturbed by the planets that orbit them, but also the direct imaging of larger planets and possibly even the characterisation of their atmospheres.[57] The telescope will attempt to image Earthlike exoplanets, which may be possible.[1]
Rare Footage Captures The Moment a Predator Attacked a Sloth … And Lost
Funny or Fuggedaboudit
Support your local and online cartoonists and memologists, and the striking writers and actors.
You know, I don’t think that this is how Ramadan works.
