Marist released their polls of those who have voted early in AZ, GA and NC and I found their findings to be pretty interesting considering the make up of the early vote in these states.
For context, this is the make up of those who have voted early in these states based on data from Target Smart targetearly.targetsmart.com/...
ARIZONA
| Registered Party |
2024 Count |
2024 Perc |
| Democrat |
303,151 |
36% |
| Republican |
356,550 |
42% |
| Other |
49,979 |
6% |
| Unaffiliated |
131,555 |
16% |
|
841,235 |
|
NORTH CAROLINA
| Registered Party |
2024 Count |
2024 Perc |
| Democrat |
663,990 |
34.10% |
| Republican |
665,719 |
34.20% |
| Other |
8,589 |
0.40% |
| Unaffiliated |
608,049 |
31.20% |
|
1,946,347 |
|
GEORGIA (Does not disclose party affiliation so these are modelled party numbers)
| Modeled Party |
2024 Count |
2024 Perc |
| Democrat |
854,783 |
45.60% |
| Republican |
913,507 |
48.70% |
| Unaffiliated |
108,141 |
5.80% |
|
1,876,431 |
|
From the Marist poll released earlier today, it is evident that the Republican early vote advantage is not translating into a win for them so far. Here are the poll results taken for those who have already voted.
AZ: Harris 56 % Trump 44 %
- Harris (56%) has the advantage over Trump (44%) among those who say they have already voted. Trump (55%), though, leads Harris (44%) among likely voters who have yet to vote. maristpoll.marist.edu/...
NC: Harris 55 % Trump 43 %
- Harris (55%) is +12 points over Trump (43%) among voters who say they have already cast their ballot. Trump (53%) is ahead of Harris (45%) among likely voters who have yet to vote. maristpoll.marist.edu/...
GA: Harris 55 % Trump 45 %
- Harris (55%) leads Trump (45%) among those who say they have already voted. Trump (52%) has the advantage over Harris (46%) among likely voters who have yet to cast a ballot. maristpoll.marist.edu/...
If these polls are correct, this would mean that independents or non-affiliated voters are breaking heavily for Kamala. I mean, could we be bedwetting for no reason and that we are in a great position to win this thing handily? I can only hope so.
