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This demographics phenomena is well known among Election Officials. Only a charlatan like Donald Trump would claim that it is “surprising and suspicious” — something nefarious.
When in actual point of fact it’s just physics: “Urban areas take longer to count than Rural areas.”
Let’s let the professor explain ...
Robert Reich — Oct 29, 2024
[0:00]
There's a dirty Trump trick you need to look out for.
He used it in 2020 to try to overturn the election, and he's going to do it again.
But it doesn't work if you know it's coming.
Watch out for Trump to exploit something elections experts call the "Red Mirage" — to prematurely declare victory BEFORE all the votes are counted.
You see, in almost every election, Republicans appear to take an early lead. That's the "Red Mirage."
Then, that lead gets smaller throughout the night, which is called the "Blue Shift."
This happens because Republican votes tend to be counted before Democratic votes. It's not magic.
Votes are counted by precinct, and Democrats tend to live in more densely populated, urban precincts, while Republicans tend to live in more sparsely populated, rural ones.
It just takes longer to count the votes in a precinct with a lot of people than in a precinct with fewer people.
[...]
And second point of fact: “Mail-in Ballots take longer to count than same-day Ballots.”
[1:34]
Also, Democrats are more likely to vote by mail, and mail-in votes take longer to count.
Anyone who follows elections knows about the "Red Mirage" and the "Blue Shift," as the former political director of Fox News has testified:
[Mr. Stirewalt: ] "So in every election, and certainly a national election, you expect to see the Republican with a lead, but it's not really a lead."
[Congresswoman Lofgren: ] "So this 'Red Mirage,' that's really what you expected to happen on Election Night?"
[Mr. Stirewalt: ] "Happens every time."
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[Robert Reich: ] But in 2020, Trump pretended the "Blue Shift" was surprising and suspicious.
[Trump, in 2020: ] "We were winning in all the key locations by a lot, actually. And then our numbers started miraculously getting whittled away in secret."
[Robert Reich: ] No. There was nothing miraculous or secret about it.
But it's easy to see why people who don't know about the "Red Mirage" could be tricked into thinking that something unusual had happened.
[...]
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Trump has been telegraphing that he is likely to pull this same Lying stunt again — to prematurely declare Victory BEFORE all the votes have been counted. BEFORE the “Blue Shift” can catch up with, and overtake, the “Red Mirage.”
This is implied by his stubborn refusal to say ‘he will accept the Election results’ — not unless he wins.
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If you watched that entire video, you would have heard a tape of Steve Bannon, predicting Trump would declare victory early, BEFORE all the votes were counted.
And guess what, Bannon’s back at it again. He just was released from prison. And in his Presser, towards the end of it, he let it slip, that:
[5:32]
[Bannon: ]
President Trump came up at 2:30 in the morning [after the 2020 Election] and talked. He should have done it at 11 o'clock at night in 2020, okay.
I am urging president Trump, if the votes come in like it looks like they're going to come in [the Red Mirage], he should step up and inform the American citizens of exactly what's going on, and not keep people in the dark like was done in 2020.
So president Trump should step up and walk people through, state by state, of where these leads are [the Red Mirage] — and how these leads came about.
We're not prepared to have, in the dark of night, all the problems [the Blue Shift] that happened last time, okay. The 2020 Election was stolen, okay. I will never back off that.
[Reporter: ] And we know you wanted him to stay on as president. We know that you wanted the Election ...
[Bannon: ] I didn't want that. What I wanted, what I wanted, was the will of the American people at the Ballot Box to be effectuated.
IOW, Bannon is advising Trump to declare Victory much earlier on Election Night, this time around. Long before the “Blue Shift” counting phase has finished, in some key states.
This is like declaring your Team the winner in Super Bowl — at half time.
Like declaring your Team the World Series champs — in the 6th inning, of the 4th game.
Like not letting the opposing Team have their “at bats” — because you don’t like the fact that their best hitters are due up, in the next inning.
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Who does that? In America, fair play and sportsmanship used to matter.
Let the Contest begin. And more importantly, let it finish too.
In America, we used to Count the Votes — before declaring Victory — based on nothing but corrupt-intent alone.
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Steve Bannon dishes his warning/threats towards the end of this video [transcribed above].
Tim Miller GRILLS Steve Bannon in Post-Prison Press Conference on if He’ll Attempt Another Coup
The Bulwark — Oct 29, 2024
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We are being warned. AGAIN.
Question is: Will the Corporate Media take such unfounded claims of Victory — as “credible” or “incredible,” this time around?
It used to be in America, that a proven Liar was only given “Three Strikes” — before people stopped taking their outrageous claims seriously.
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“We won. We won. We won. … <i>Just trust us, okay.<i>”
