Admittedly, this isn’t much of a story, but I wanted to put in some good news for all the people freaking out about the Harris +7 Reuters poll only being +3 in reality (horrors!)
We don’t know a whole lot about polling at the moment. We have our share of “they’re not reflecting the shy Trump voter” champions while ignoring that racism and sexism may be creating a “shy Harris voter” as well. There’s also the surge in registrations after Harris became the de facto nominee throwing a spanner in the works of prognostication. And indeed, we’re seeing bizarre unsettling things all over the place: NE-Sen and TX-Sen looking somewhat worrisome for Republicans, IA showing Dem strength downballot, et cetera et cetera. How could Harris be so close if all this is going on?
This poll is to indicate that perhaps she isn’t. Don’t give up. Remember, we had no ground game in 2020 but we’re back, baby, in full force. Ben Wikler is doing his damndest in Wisconsin and clearly we’re getting the message out about early voting in Pennsylvania as Dem ballots are being returned at a furious rate (source: election.lab.ufl.edu/… ).
Here’s the tweet about the titular poll:
“In Pa’s hotly contested 10th Congressional District, our poll out later today shows Harris leading Trump in this GOP-leaning district 46:41. Trump won this district +4 in ‘20. This is not a good trajectory for GOP incumbent Con. Scott Perry. More tweets to follow shortly.”
UPDATE: And Susquehanna states the Dem candidate Stelson is leading the Republican incumbent Perry in this district by nine points. Dobbs is real, folks.
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