Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 8/9

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UPDATE: Friday, Aug 9, 2024 · 8:08:54 PM +00:00 · Stephen Wolf

• DE-Gov: A new poll by Concord Public Opinion Partners on behalf of Education Reform Now Advocacy shows New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer with a 30-23 edge over Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long in the Sept. 10 Democratic primary, while National Wildlife Federation leader Collin O'Mara takes 8%.

Education Reform Now Advocacy is a nonprofit affiliated with Democrats for Education Reform, a PAC that supports charter schools. It is unclear whether the latter group has a rooting interest in this contest.

This is the first poll this year to show Meyer leading, but it's also the first that was conducted after state officials released a damaging report late last month concluding that Hall-Long's campaign had violated campaign finance laws. A mid-July survey from Public Policy Polling for Hall-Long's supporters at the Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association found her leading Meyer 31-19. Meanwhile, an early-July poll from Slingshot Strategies for Citizens for a New Delaware Way, which opposes Hall-Long, found the race tied, at 27-27.

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UPDATE: Friday, Aug 9, 2024 · 7:57:30 PM +00:00 · Jeff Singer

Ad Roundup:

• MT-Sen: Tim Sheehy (R) - anti-Jon Tester (D-inc)

• NM-Sen: Nella Domenici (R) and the NRSC

• WI-Sen: Restoration of America - anti-Tammy Baldwin (D-inc)

• IA-03: Lanon Baccam (D)

• OH-09: Derek Merrin (R) and the NRCC - anti-Marcy Kaptur (D-inc)

• San Francisco, CA Mayor: Daniel Lurie

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UPDATE: Friday, Aug 9, 2024 · 7:56:09 PM +00:00 · Jeff Singer

Poll Pile:

• NC-Gov: Cygnal (R) for the Carolina Journal and the John Locke Foundation: Josh Stein (D): 43, Mark Robinson (R): 38, Mike Ross (L): 3, Wayne Turner (G): 1 (47-44 Trump with third-party candidates) (May: 39-39 gubernatorial tie)

• NC-AG: Cygnal (R): Dan Bishop (R): 42, Jeff Jackson (D): 38

• NC Supreme Court: Cygnal (R): Jefferson Griffin (R): 40, Allison Riggs (D-inc): 37

• San Francisco, CA Mayor: Sextant Strategies & Research (D) for the San Francisco Chronicle: London Breed (inc): 28, Mark Farrell: 20, Daniel Lurie: 17, Aaron Peskin: 12, Ahsha Safai: 5 (All candidates are Democrats.)

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UPDATE: Friday, Aug 9, 2024 · 6:15:58 PM +00:00 · Jeff Singer

• Sacramento, CA Mayor: Retiring Mayor Darrell Steinberg declared Tuesday that he was backing Assemblyman Kevin McCarty in the November nonpartisan election to replace him as leader of California's dark blue capital city. 

The Sacramento Bee's Theresa Clift writes that Steinberg, who only confirmed his "support" after the paper learned he'd made a donation to McCarty back in March. Steinberg did not say he was endorsing the legislator, but as we've written before, this is a distinction without a difference.

McCarty, a Democrat whose social media profile declares, "* NOT Kevin McCartHy, Seriously!" faces physician Flojaune Cofer, who is the endorsed candidate of the local chapter of the Democratic Socialists of America. Cofer, who would be the first Black woman elected to lead Sacramento, led McCarty 29-22 in the March nonpartisan primary. Neither of the two candidates who finished just behind him, former state Sen. Richard Pan and City Councilman Steve Hansen, appear to have backed either McCarty or Cofer.

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