Marquette Law School, Wisconsin’s gold standard poll, confirms the Wisconsin Presidential race is within the margin of error. We call that the margin of effort.
Remember, back in 2016, we were up in polls—and lost by 7 tenths of a point. In 2020, we won by 6 tenths of a point.
Let’s use the polls only to fuel us to do even more to win now.
Help propel our organizing to work our way to victory in Wisconsin. Chip in here.
The Marquette Law poll is rated by 538 as America’s 3rd best poll, and most transparent. But when Trump’s on the ballot, even the best pollsters can miss by a few points. In 2020, their final WI poll was Biden 48, Trump 43. Biden won here by 0.6%.
In fact, at this point in 2020, in vastly different circumstances, the Marquette poll looked almost exactly like it does today—with a four point edge for Biden over Trump.
We won by 20,682, out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast.
Over and over, Wisconsin presidential races have come down to less than one percentage point. That’s why Wisconsin was the tipping point state in 2016 and 2020.
Polls go up and down. Reading them can be addictive. They can be useful to help inform decision-making—especially if you’re deciding where to volunteer or donate. But the most critical thing is what Michelle Obama told us: DO SOMETHING.
Absentee ballots are already hitting folks’ mailboxes in Wisconsin. We’re reaching out to those voters one by one to make sure they cast votes for Kamala Harris and get those ballots sent in. Running a massive statewide Get Out The Vote operation takes resources.
Your donations now to @WisDems can tip the entire presidential race.