"Our current fertility rate isn't enough for human survival"
Earth.com
Shrinking Populations, Shifting Economies
Advanced nations must redesign economies for a smaller, aging population
- Population decline is accelerating in advanced economies, with major shifts expected by the 2030s.
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The Apocalyptic Decline in Birth Rates
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Another meta-analysis in 2022, again led by Hagai Levine, reported that sperm concentration declined by 53.3 percent and sperm count by 56.3 percent in …
The latest UN population projections reveal a world on the cusp of a stunning demographic transformation. The global baby bust continues to deepen, countries almost everywhere are aging, and a growing number face long-term demographic decline. In this Vantage Point, we discuss the coming global demographic transformation, as well as the daunting social, economic, and geopolitical challenges it poses group
Over the past 50 years, human sperm counts appear to have fallen by more than 50% around the globe, according to an updated review of medical literature.
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Record Drop in Europe's Birth Rates in 2023 Risks Future Labor Shortage
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Just have more babies? The deceptively complicated problem of the record-low U.S. fertility rate.
Americans aren't having enough children to maintain our population size.
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The End of Children
Birth rates are crashing around the world. Should we be worried?
What will the end of humanity look like? We may soon find out. Declining fertility rates have become a near-universal phenomenon; in the U.S., the rate has dropped roughly twenty per cent in the past two decades. Right-wing activists view depopulation as a threat greater than climate change, a stance that the left often calls scaremongering in service of their assault on reproductive rights. But is there cause for alarm?
For a piece in this week’s issue,
Gideon Lewis-Kraus travels to South Korea, which has the lowest birth rate of any nation in the world and possibly the lowest in recorded history, to see what the future might hold for other countries on the downward slope in baby making. There, he notes, “Portents of desolation are everywhere.” About two hundred day-care facilities have been turned into nursing homes; a rural school has been repurposed as a cat sanctuary; on offer at an after-school program is an apparatus for playing Ping-Pong alone. “The end of the world is usually dramatized as convulsive and feverish,” he writes, “but population loss is an apocalypse on an installment plan.”
Global Population Growth Is Rapidly Declining - Here’s Why www.iflscience.com/...
Charted: The World Has Passed ‘Peak Child’
The Coming Democratic Baby Bust
Birth rates on the left fell in the last Trump presidency. That seems likely to happen again.
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Top economies face ‘population collapse’ as fertility rates drop, and something’s got to give, study says
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Mapped: Fertility Rates in North and South America
EUROPE AND THE WORLD
Mapped: Europe’s Population Crash (2025-2100P)
Italy’s birth rate crisis is ‘irreversible’, say experts
Hundreds of Italian towns and villages had no new babies in 2023 amid an exodus of young pe
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FRANCE
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Global population decline predicted -- what Earth will be like with less people
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In New England, an aging population is leading to a shortage of workers
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Japan accelerating towards extinction, birthrate expert warns
A rapidly ageing population and an all-time low fertility rate puts country on course to have one child left in 695 years
UK Births to British-Born Parents Tumble to Lowest on Recordwww.bloomberg.com/…
The next day I wake up to bright sunshine, burning the mist off the forested Japanese Alps, and I see a rare and magnificent pair of mountain hawk eagles, in the middle of town, soaring above the bridge. If Hida Furukawa was busy and noisy, they would surely not come here, but now, as it falls silent, nature returns. As I walk to one of the town’s last izakayas for a cup of warm sake, I am reminded of the words of the poet Gerard Manley Hopkins: ‘Let them be left,/ O let them be left…/ Long live the weeds and the wilderness yet.’
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Russia is speeding into a demographic crisis with a 25-year-low birth rate as the Ukraine war rages on
December 6, 2024 at 1:00 AM EST
The global fertility crisis: are fewer babies a good or a bad thing? Guardian UK fetility crisis
The global fertility crisis: are fewer babies a good or a bad thing? Experts are divided
The UK’s fertility rate is at an all-time low, and many other countries face similar declines, creating ageing populations. But can ecological benefits of fewer people outweigh social problems created
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october, it was revealed that, for the first time since the 1970s baby bust, deaths outnumbered births in the UK – meaning, in effect, that all of our population growth (about 680,000 for this year) came from immigration.
The reason why is obvious. The boomers – i.e. people born during the great baby boom of 1945-1965 – are dying out, and they are not being properly replaced, thanks to a low total fertility rate (TFR, which equals ‘births per woman’). In England and Wales, TFR fell to just 1.49, far below the accepted replacement rate of 2.1.
For the first time since the 1970s baby bust, deaths outnumbered births in the UK
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In response, some argue that we must do everything we can to reverse that trend. I’d like to suggest that we stop caring about declining fertility for two reasons.
First, attempts to increase population-level fertility rates are largely futile. Decisions about having children are contextual, complex, and nuanced and therefore resistant to quick-fix, silver bullet pronatalist policies like ‘baby bonuses,’ (ask yourself how much money it would take to convince you to have a child).
Moreover, most of the factors that affect fertility rates cannot or in fact should not be altered. Few would argue that women should be less educated, that families should invest less time in their children, or that people should not have access to contraception. Don’t get me wrong; removing barriers to people having their desired number of children is a worthy goal. Trying to change the number of children people desire is not.
The second and more fundamental reason, however, is that declining fertility isn’t the real problem. Rather, the actual issue is that our existing social systems rely on at least replacement level fertility. These systems were built in a time when fertility was much higher, life expectancy was much shorter, and our families looked very different. The Canadian Pension Plan (CPP) was created in 1965 when the fertility rate was 3.2 children per woman, only 36 percent of women participated in the labour force, and the average person could expect to live around 72 years. Today, women have about two less children on average, the vast majority (85%) participate in the labour force, and people tend to live around ten years longer.
We shouldn’t try to change our fertility rates to ensure our social systems can function. We need to change our social systems so that they work for our families and society today, which is undeniably characterized by lower fertility and longer life expectancy.
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