There was a Snowpocalypse in the Kamchatka peninsula on Russia’s Pacific coast. A massive snowstorm driven by high winds buried cars and buildings alike with huge drifts.
And today there was a 6.2 earthquake off the southern tip of the peninsula. Sounds like a lovely place to be right now.
Of course, there are a number of AI-generated photos/videos that make the blizzard look like the coming of a new ice age.
France seizes a Russian shadow fleet tanker in the Mediterranean Sea.
Zelenskyy had earlier canceled his trip to the Davos forum in Switzerland to help with the blackout in Kyiv, but he reversed course. He met with Trump and had some choice words for Europe.
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🇺🇦🇪🇺❗️Zelensky: Europe must learn how to defend itself. Sending 14 or 40 soldiers to Greenland — what is that meant to achieve? What message does that send to Putin? To China? And perhaps most importantly, what message does it send to Denmark?
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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 8:24 AM
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"This is the fourth year of the largest war in Europe since World War II, and the person who started it is not only free, but is still fighting for his frozen money in Europe." - Zelenskyy during his speech in Davos.
— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 9:41 AM
This reporter isn’t identified but I’ll bet he isn’t from the U.S.
That first guy should buy a lottery ticket.
Another oil terminal goes bavovna.
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⚡️ Ukraine confirms strike on Russia's Tamanneftegaz oil terminal, radar stations in Crimea also hit.
Ukraine reported additional strikes on military targets in Russian-occupied regions, including Crimea, Kherson and Donetsk oblasts.
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— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) January 22, 2026 at 8:26 AM
Another 1,070 Russians plus nine tanks and three air defense units.
Russia came up with a new and improved anti-drone cage only to have Ukraine steal the plans.
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Russian engineers designed tank armor that blocks drones—without blocking the gun.
Weeks later, a Ukrainian tank showed up with the same design.
The blueprints came from Omsktransmash, a Siberian tank factory. They leaked online. Ukraine built one before Russia could mass-produce it.
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— Euromaidan Press (@euromaidanpress.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 6:38 AM
Russia bombed more civilians in Dnipro and Kryvyi Rih.
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This was someone’s kitchen, where they’d make coffee with milk and fried eggs for breakfast, where they’d make apple pies with cinnamon and tell late night stories with a glass of wine. Now, destroyed, because Russia decided it’s another ‘dangerous military target’.
Kryvyi rih, Ukraine, today
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— Margo Gontar (@margogontar.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 10:02 AM
Russia bombed Belgorod again.
It’d be a damn shame if they blew up.
This thread takes a stab at estimating how many tanks and other armored vehicles Russia has left.
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notes:
this is just my take on the "middle case " - so I am going for what is IMO the most plausible interpretation of the data, not hyper-optimistic/pessimistic interpretation of the data that some folks use.
I rounded the numbers slightly to make it easier to read
— Jakub Janovsky (@rebel44cz.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 10:10 AM
As of early 2026, Oryx has documented following losses:
4300 tanks (~3960 permanent losses)
3650 BMP-1/2 (~3000 permanent losses)
800 BMP-3 (~740 permanent losses)
1680 BTR-80/82 (~1580 permanent losses)
590 BMD (~550 permanent losses)
1860 MT-LB (~1790 permanent losses)
As these are all visually confirmed losses, it is abviously just a floor, with the actual losses being significantly higher. For equipment used on the frontline, like AFVs, I use 20% on top of the documented losses as the likely number on top that is missing from the data
That would translate into following numbers for permanent losses:
~4800 tanks
~3600 BMP
-1/2~890 BMP-3
~1900 BTR-80/82
~700 BMD~2150 MT-LB
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What has been pulled from storage since the start of the war:
~5000 tanks
~4870 BMP-½
~1390 older BTRs
~470 BMD~3600 MT-LB
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What remains in storage are in many cases vehicles in a terrible state or undesirable due to the lack of spare parts production. As a result, out of the remaining ~2210 tanks in storage, I discount 1180 tanks that are likely to end up scrapped.
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On top of all this, there is an active production.On the large scale, only the following AFVs are AFAIK being produced (note: Russia likes to call refurbishment and upgrades "production", while I only treat newly made vehicles as produced):T-90MBMP-3BTR-82
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When you put all of that together, you get approximately: Tanks: 3000 operational +4500 from storage (after 10% deducted for those likely scrapped for parts) +350 new production -4800 permanent losses — 3050 remaining operational1030 remaining viable in storage
BMP-1/2: 3500 operational +3900 from storage (after 20% deducted for those likely scrapped for parts) +0 new production -3600 permanent losses — 3800 remaining operational, 1110 remaining viable in storage
BMP-3: 650 operational + negligible numbers from storage, +1000 new production, -890 permanent losses, 760 remaining, 0 remaining viable in storage.
BTR-82: 2500 operational +1110 from storage (after 20% deducted for those likely scrapped for parts) +1200 new production -1900 permanent losses — 2910 remaining, 2000 (older BTRs) remaining viable in storage
BMD: 1000 operational +370 from storage (after 20% deducted for those likely scrapped for parts) + negligible new production -700 permanent losses — 670 remaining, 120 remaining viable in storage
MT-LB: 3500 operational +2880 from storage (after 20% deducted for those likely scrapped for parts) + no new production -2150 permanent losses — 4230 remaining, 530 remaining viable in storage
So, the Russian AFV fleet is now in most regards approximately comparable or slightly larger to what the Russian military had operational at the start of the 2022 invasion of Ukraine
Norway steps up.
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🇳🇴🇺🇦 Norway has transferred to Ukraine a “significant number” of missiles for NASAMS systems to ensure their continuous operation in the face of constant Russian attacks.
Prime Minister stated that air defense remains a key area of assistance to Ukraine.
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— MAKS 25 👀🇺🇦 (@maks23.bsky.social) January 22, 2026 at 8:58 AM
Russia getting the boot from an airfield in Syria.
Germany has ordered the deputy military attache at the Russian Embassy in Germany to leave the country over this.
An update from Kupyansk.
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Most remaining Russian troops in Kupyansk are now concentrated in a single downtown block, said Viktor Trehubov, head of communications for the Joint Forces Group. He said Ukrainian forces are working to complete the cleanup of the area “preferably without casualties among our soldiers.” #Ukraine
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— NOELREPORTS (@noelreports.com) January 21, 2026 at 1:23 PM
I don’t feel sorry for a lot of Russian soldiers, but this guy is a really sad case.
This would never happen in America — well, except for Florida.
According to a reader, the incident occurred at a private "House of Mercy" in the village of Solyanoy on January 19, where two disabled people, one with two legs and the other with one, engaged in a knife fight. One of them is currently in intensive care with serious injuries. The portal's interlocutor noted that the men had a disagreement about something: either the television, who would watch what, or something else.
I haven’t seen a children’s show eaten up by this much histrionics since Jerry Falwell gave us Tinky Winky as the gay purple Teletubby.
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Endlessly hilarious to see the meltdown from Russia's conservatives about what is probably the most beloved icon of Soviet children's entertainment. With the new films, these people finally get some genuine cultural capital, and they immediately try to cancel it.
meduza.io/en/feature/2...
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— Kevin Rothrock (@kevinrothrock.me) January 21, 2026 at 3:49 PM
Russia’s domestic box office has a rare smash hit. “Cheburashka 2,” this year’s sequel to the 2023 live-action film adapting Soviet writer Eduard Uspensky’s beloved “animal unknown to science” (as the creature is famously described), has already generated more than five billion rubles ($65.1 million) in ticket sales. The movie is on track to outperform its predecessor, which earned a record 7.1 billion rubles ($92.4 million) during its theatrical run. Despite strong commercial success, the production has provoked outrage from some conservatives. The prominent “Eurasianist” right-wing philosopher Alexander Dugin has led the backlash, and several State Duma deputies now echo his criticisms. Meduza examines the reasons for the controversy.
Dugin spoke out about the new film as early as January 5. In his Telegram channel, he wrote: “If we continue this unhealthy obsession with Cheburashka, the Lord will surely curse us. Come to your senses, people.” He did not say whether he had actually seen the film.
Dugin’s call to action went largely unnoticed, and on January 13, he published another series of short posts about Cheburashka:
“The figure of Cheburashka is derived from ancient pentacles that reproduce the symbolic features of the Moon demon Shedbarshemoth Sharthatan. If the entirety of the “Russian idea” is reduced to this, we are finished. Not so long ago, “Cheburashka 1.0” arrived in the form of the late Soviet Union and [the film] The Irony of Fate. God forbid, we are approaching The End 2.0. If so, one feels the urge to reach for the [nuclear-propelled cruise missile] “Burevestnik,” or perhaps straight for the [nuclear-propelled underwater vehicle] ‘Poseidon.’ Sometimes it is better not to exist at all than to exist in some unintelligible state. Cheburashka is the concentrated expression of that very feeblemindedness against which I have battled my whole life.”
The next day, Dugin was invited to talk about Cheburashka on Komsomolskaya Pravda radio. There, he said that both Cheburashka and Gena the Crocodile (Eduard Uspensky’s other protagonist) are “brainrot,” arguing that their story is alien to Russian culture. “Cheburashka’s appearance coincides with the transition to philistine values and infantilism,” Dugin explained, saying the character’s popularity threatens modern Russia’s fight with the West “for the right to remain in history.” Dugin did not mince words, telling radio listeners that Cheburashka “dismantled” the Soviet Union. The production of such films is “sabotage against the revival of Russia’s state-civilization,” he added. “I consider it a crime.”
Run!
