Senator Michael Bennet likely will win reelection to Colorado's Senate seat

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Wednesday November 03, 2010 · 12:20 AM PDT

2010/11/03 · 00:20

It's about 2:00 am Wednesday morning, and right now the Colorado Senate race is one of the few remaining races yet to be called. Senator Bennet (D-CO) trails challenger Ken Buck right now by about 8,000 votes (726,000 to 718,000). About 71% of precincts have reported their results, but luckily for Bennet the remaining 29% are mostly from the Denver and Boulder areas, which slant Democratic.

As of now, only 54% of Denver County has reported, and Bennet holds a 60,000 vote lead there already. Neighboring Adams County has 81% reporting, but Bennet holds a small lead there and isn't likely to lose it as the final votes are counted. Arapahoe County has 11% reporting, and Bennet holds a 5,000 vote lead with 78,000 votes cast in his favor so far. In Jefferson County, 48% is reporting and Bennet has a 4,000 vote lead with 101,000 votes cast in his favor. Finally, in Boulder County with 63% reporting, Bennet has a 22,000 vote lead with 57,000 votes cast for him.

There are tens of thousands of votes left to count in the Denver and Boulder areas, and in each of those areas, Bennet has the lead right now (and the areas historically have gone Democratic). Buck isn't likely to hold his lead of 8,000 votes over Bennet as the Denver and Boulder votes continue to be reported. A few Republican leaning counties also have outstanding votes, but they are in small population centers and unlikely to move the needle much in Buck's favor.

Barring a stunning change of events, I expect Bennet will win the Colorado Senate seat.

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